Tasks / Discover

Extract discovery insights

Can the model separate evidence, themes and hypotheses without inventing consensus?

Measures the modelTask v1.1 · 2 casesDifficulty

What AI gets right here, and what you’ll still have to catch

From 12 graded outputs by 6 models. 58% were usable with at most a quick edit.

Reliably right

  1. Respects explicit constraints100% pass
    It is a findings summary for the product team and is under the 600-word limit.
    GPT-6 Astra · ChatGPT · Eight calls with finance teams
  2. Produces the required deliverable100% pass
    The summary is complete, usable, and would let a PM act with only light edits.
    GPT-6 Astra · ChatGPT · Eight calls with finance teams
  3. Keeps dissent visible100% pass
    The SaaS and charity close-is-fine views and the manufacturing CFO's switching regret are kept visible.
    GPT-6 Astra · ChatGPT · Eight calls with finance teams

Where it slips

  1. Says how many sources support each finding52% pass
    Findings reference call numbers but do not say how many of the eight support each theme, and it uses an unsupported universal.
    Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · Gemini · Eight calls with finance teams
  2. Avoids unsupported claims56% pass
    The bottom line asserts 'Adoption will depend on handling messy data and reducing switching effort' as an established forecast, though the evidence only suggests it.
    GPT-6.1 Sol · API · Eight calls with finance teams
  3. Uses the supplied evidence correctly65% pass
    The output states the calls happened in August 2026, but the supplied context only says August without a year; this date is an invented fact not supported by the brief.
    Opus 5.5 · Claude · Eight calls with finance teams

Case viewer

Read the brief, then put up to three outputs side by side, each with the LLM judge’s verdict on every check. Highlights mark what a PM had to fix.

The brief

Synthesise the eight discovery calls below with finance leads about month-end close. Write a findings summary for the product team, who are deciding whether to build a reconciliation product: what we learned, and how confident we can be in it. Keep it under 600 words.

ScenarioWe make spend-management software for mid-sized companies and are exploring a reconciliation product. Our PM ran these 40-minute calls in August. Below are the relevant excerpts from each, lightly edited.
Call 1: Financial controller, logistics company (180 staff)“Close takes us eight working days and at least three of those are reconciliation. The bank feed drops transactions, so we tick and bash against statements in Excel.” Asked what she'd pay to fix it: “If it gave me two days back, it pays for itself. But I've heard that before.”
Call 2: Head of finance, SaaS company (95 staff)“Honestly close is fine. We moved to a proper ERP two years ago, it's five days and nobody's complaining.” Later: “The only annoying bit is chasing people for receipts, not reconciling.”
Call 3: Finance manager, retail chain (400 staff)“Card transactions are the nightmare. Hundreds of store cards, the statements come in as PDFs, someone re-keys them. We found £14k of duplicates last quarter.” She reconciles card spend in a shared spreadsheet with four people editing it.
Call 4: CFO, manufacturing company (250 staff)“We switched reconciliation tools last year and I regret it. The migration took four months, we lost all our matching rules, and half the team quietly went back to spreadsheets.” Asked if he'd switch again: “Not unless someone else does the migration for us. Never again otherwise.”
Call 5: Accountant, agency group (120 staff)“Intercompany is where it breaks. Three entities, money moving between them every week, and the balances never agree at month end. I spend a day and a half on it.”
Call 6: Finance director, charity (70 staff)“Close is fine for us. We're small, two of us, it takes four days and we know every transaction.” When asked about tools: “We'd not pay for anything new this year; budgets are frozen.”
Call 7: Controller, hospitality group (300 staff)“Payment processor payouts are the worst: they net off fees and refunds, so nothing matches the bank line. We reconcile by hand and it's always the last thing holding up close.”
Call 8: Financial controller, construction firm (210 staff)“Reconciliation is about 40% of my close. It's not hard, it's just volume, matching the same things every month.” On automation: “I'd want to see it match our messy data before I believed it. Every demo uses clean data.”
What a strong answer does

Themes with honest counts (five of eight describe reconciliation pain, from different sources), the two who say close is fine and the CFO's switching regret kept visible, and hypotheses about willingness to pay and switching cost labelled as such.

Critical failures (cap the score)
  • Invents a quote
Case

v1.7 · anonymised real · B2B, finance

Usable with a quick edit9 of 9 checks passed

The output is accurate, well-structured, and actionable with only minor wording changes needed.

Output

Findings: month-end reconciliation

These calls justify testing a focused reconciliation proposition, but do not yet justify building a broad product. Six participants described reconciliation pain or dissatisfaction with their tools. However, their problems differ substantially, and evidence of willingness to adopt or pay is weak.

What we learned

Reconciliation can materially delay close, but it is not a universal problem. The logistics controller reported at least three reconciliation days within an eight-day close. The agency accountant spends 1.5 days on intercompany balances. The construction controller estimated reconciliation at 40% of close, while the hospitality controller said processor payouts are the final blocker.

Conversely, the SaaS and charity participants explicitly said close works well. SaaS’s remaining frustration was receipt chasing, which should not be counted as reconciliation demand. These counterexamples argue against targeting all finance teams simply because they run a monthly close.

“Reconciliation” covers several distinct jobs.

ProblemEvidence from calls
Incomplete transaction dataLogistics: missing bank-feed transactions require checking statements in Excel
Card-statement processingRetail: PDF re-keying, shared spreadsheet coordination and £14k of duplicates found last quarter
Intercompany balancingAgency: transfers across three entities create mismatched balances
Processor payout reconciliationHospitality: fees and refunds obscure the relationship between payments and bank deposits
Repetitive matching at volumeConstruction: recurring manual work, described as time-consuming rather than difficult

These may require different data integrations, matching logic and workflows. Combining them into one demand signal would overstate support for any particular product.

Spreadsheets persist for different reasons. Logistics uses them to compensate for feed gaps; retail uses them to coordinate work; manufacturing returned to them after a failed tool migration. Spreadsheet use alone does not establish a desire to replace spreadsheets.

Trust and migration could determine adoption. The construction controller wants proof using messy, real data. The logistics controller is sceptical of promised savings. The manufacturing CFO made migration assistance a condition of switching after losing matching rules during a four-month migration. These are specific adoption requirements, although we cannot assume every buyer shares them.

How confident can we be?

Moderate confidence that meaningful problems exist in some of these organisations. Participants supplied concrete workflows, time estimates and one financial example. These remain self-reports: we have not observed the work or verified the figures. The £14k in duplicates does not establish losses incurred or savings our product could deliver.

Low confidence about prevalence, the best segment or a common solution. Eight exploratory calls provide useful hypotheses, not market estimates. Recruitment criteria and customer relationships are unspecified. Each industry appears only once, so differences cannot reliably be attributed to sector, company size or ERP maturity.

Very low confidence about commercial demand. One participant gave a conditional value statement after being asked about price, without naming a budget or committing to buy. Another explicitly ruled out new spending this year. No purchase, pilot commitment or switching decision is evidenced.

Implication for the product decision

Prioritise validation of card-spend reconciliation, given its proximity to our existing spend-management product, while recognising that only one call directly supports this use case.

Recruit more teams with that workflow, inspect actual statements and reconciliation records, and test a narrow prototype on messy data. Measure time saved, incorrect matches and exception-handling effort. Seek concrete pilot commitments and establish budget ownership and migration requirements before committing to build.

Check by check

Got right · 9
  • Uses the supplied evidence correctlyAll facts and figures used are taken correctly from the supplied call excerpts with no invented current-state details.
  • Addresses the actual decisionThe output clearly commits to testing a focused reconciliation proposition rather than building broadly, and states what validation results would change that call.
  • Respects explicit constraintsIt is a findings summary for the product team and is under the 600-word limit.
  • Identifies material uncertaintyIt names prevalence, segment, willingness to pay, migration needs, and unverified self-reports as open questions and says how pilots and messy-data testing would resolve them.
  • Avoids unsupported claimsInterpretations and hypotheses are hedged or labelled as such, and confident claims are limited to those supported by the excerpts.
  • Produces the required deliverableThe summary is complete, usable, and would let a PM act with only light edits.
  • Keeps dissent visibleThe SaaS and charity close-is-fine views and the manufacturing CFO's switching regret are kept visible.
  • Weights behaviour over opinionIt separates observed workarounds and past behaviour from stated intent and flags commercial demand as very low confidence.
  • Says how many sources support each findingFindings are anchored to named calls and explicit counts such as 'six participants', 'eight exploratory calls', 'only one call', and 'one participant/another', avoiding unsupported generalisation.

Grades and run details

Decision model 100 · LLM judge 10 of 10 checks
Decision model checks
  • passUses the supplied evidence correctly38%
  • passAddresses the actual decision84%
  • passRespects explicit constraints41%
  • passIdentifies material uncertainty100%
  • passAvoids unsupported claims45%
  • passProduces the required deliverable75%
  • passKeeps dissent visible85%
  • passWeights behaviour over opinion85%
  • passSays how many sources support each finding52%
Run
Run
#1
Time to output
35 s
Submitted
24 Sept 2026

Usable with a quick edit7 of 9 checks passed

The only error is a stray year in the title; the rest of the reasoning, evidence, and structure is solid and usable immediately after deleting '2026'.

Output

Reconciliation discovery: findings from 8 finance-lead calls (August 2026)3

Bottom line: Most of the finance leads we spoke to have real reconciliation pain. But it shows up as several different problems, not one, and the biggest barrier to adoption is distrust and switching cost. We have almost no evidence on willingness to pay. This justifies more targeted discovery. It doesn't yet justify a decision to build.

What we learned

  1. The pain is common but not universal. Six of eight say reconciliation is a significant part of close (Calls 1, 3, 4, 5, 7, 8).1 The two who said close is fine (2, 6) run the smallest companies, at 95 and 70 staff, and one of them has a modern ERP. That hints at a size threshold around 100+ staff, but it rests on two data points.

2. Where people gave numbers, the cost is large. - About 3 of 8 close days (1) - 1.5 days a month (5) - About 40% of close (8) - £14k of duplicates found in one quarter (3)

All of these are self-reported.

3. "Reconciliation" is at least five separate problems. Each call with pain named a different source: - Bank feed dropping transactions (1) - Card statements arriving as PDFs and re-keyed into a shared spreadsheet (3) - Intercompany balances that don't agree across entities (5) - Payment-processor payouts that net off fees and refunds, so nothing matches the bank line (7) - Sheer volume of repetitive matching (8)

No two calls named the same source. One "reconciliation product" would have to handle different matching logic for different segments. Card spend (3) sits closest to what we already do and could be a natural starting point, but it came up in only one call.

4. Switching cost and skepticism are the main barrier.2 - Call 4 switched reconciliation tools last year. Migration took four months, they lost their matching rules, and half the team drifted back to spreadsheets. He won't switch again unless someone else does the migration. - Call 8 won't believe a tool works until it handles their messy data, because demos always use clean data. - Call 1 has "heard that before."

That's three of eight, including people with heavy pain. Done-for-you migration and proof on the customer's own data look like requirements, not differentiators.

  1. One adjacent signal. Call 2's only complaint was chasing people for receipts. That's our existing spend-management territory, not reconciliation.

How confident can we be?

Moderate confidence: - Reconciliation takes a meaningful share of close time for mid-sized finance teams. - The underlying causes vary widely between companies. - Buyers are wary of switching tools and of vendor demos.

Low or no confidence: - Willingness to pay. Only one person answered the question, and only conditionally. One has a budget freeze. - Which problem to build for. Each pain source appears exactly once. - Size threshold. It rests on two calls. - Prevalence. We don't know how these eight were recruited, whether they're customers, or how representative they are.

Method limitations: - Eight calls, one interviewer, one month. - We're working from excerpts chosen as "relevant," so the full transcripts may shift the emphasis. - The pay question was open-ended and hypothetical.

What would raise confidence before a build decision

  • Recruit 8–10 more finance leads at companies with 150–400 staff. Screen them by pain source so we learn which problem repeats.
  • Test the card-spend starting point with existing customers. Ask how they reconcile card spend today. We may already hold the data needed to solve it.
  • Test willingness to pay concretely. Use price anchors or offer a paid pilot rather than asking an open question.
  • Run a matching test on one prospect's real, messy data. Call 8 set that bar, and it's the test that would convince the skeptics.

What a PM had to fix

  1. 1Numbers wrongRedo the arithmeticTargeted repair

    Source: Call 4: CFO, manufacturing company (250 staff)We switched reconciliation tools last year and I regret it.

    What we’d changeRecount without Call 4, which is about a failed tool switch, not close time. It's five of eight.

  2. 2Hypothesis stated as factReframe it as a hypothesisQuick edit

    What we’d changePresent it as a concern three people raised. Eight calls can't rank the barriers.

  3. 3Constraint missedRestore the constraintQuick edit

    Source: BriefKeep it under 600 words.

    What we’d changeTrim it: it runs past the 600-word limit. And drop the year, which the brief doesn't give.

Check by check

Got wrong · 2
  • Uses the supplied evidence correctlyThe output states the calls happened in August 2026, but the supplied context only says August without a year; this date is an invented fact not supported by the brief.
  • Avoids unsupported claimsThe date 'August 2026' is presented as a confident fact without any basis in the supplied context.
Got right · 7
  • Addresses the actual decisionThe output clearly recommends that the evidence doesn't yet justify building and that more targeted discovery is needed, and states what would change that call.
  • Respects explicit constraintsThe output is a findings summary under 600 words for the product team, as requested.
  • Identifies material uncertaintyIt names unknown willingness to pay, problem to build for, size threshold, and recruitment bias, and how to resolve them.
  • Produces the required deliverableThe deliverable is a complete findings summary that a product team could act on with minimal edits.
  • Keeps dissent visibleCalls 2 and 6 who said close is fine are explicitly mentioned and kept in view.
  • Weights behaviour over opinionThe output flags self-reported numbers and hypothetical pay answers, and weights the actual migration experience (an observed behaviour) heavily.
  • Says how many sources support each findingEvery finding is sized by number of calls (e.g., 'six of eight', 'three of eight', 'only one call').

Claims the judge couldn’t find in the brief

  • The discovery calls took place in August 2026.

Grades and run details

Decision model 83 · LLM judge 8 of 10 checks
Decision model checks
  • failUses the supplied evidence correctly22%
  • passAddresses the actual decision95%
  • passRespects explicit constraints22%
  • passIdentifies material uncertainty100%
  • partialAvoids unsupported claims18%
  • passProduces the required deliverable45%
  • passKeeps dissent visible49%
  • passWeights behaviour over opinion87%
  • passSays how many sources support each finding27%
Run
Run
#1
Time to output
35 s
Submitted
24 Sept 2026

Results

Every setup we’ve tested on this task, across all cases and repeats, graded on the current checklist. Calibrated: the graders match our PM on 85% of checks.

#Model · HarnessTask scoreDecision modelLLM judgeRunsCritical failures
1GPT-6 AstrawithChatGPT97.295.02None
2GPT-6.1 SolwithAPI94.490.02None
3GPT-6 LunawithAPI88.980.02None
4Sonnet 5.5withAPI94.465.02None
5Opus 5.5withClaude75.070.02None
6Gemini 3.5 Flash-LitewithGemini52.830.02None

About the task

The PM job

Turning a stack of call transcripts into what we actually learned.

Why it matters

Synthesis is where teams fool themselves. A model that smooths away dissent or turns one loud customer into a trend produces confident, wrong roadmaps.

What good looks like

  • Quotes evidence for each theme and counts sources honestly
  • Weights what customers did above what they say they'd do
  • Keeps important dissent visible
  • Labels hypotheses as hypotheses
  • Says what the research cannot tell us

Deliberately not measured

  • Transcript clean-up
  • Persona illustration
Capability tested

Faithful synthesis of qualitative research

The failure we’re looking for

Invents customer consensus or loses important dissent

Grading

Decision model and LLM judge, calibrated against a blind PM review