Tasks / Discover

Extract discovery insights

Can the model separate evidence, themes and hypotheses without inventing consensus?

Measures the modelTask v1.1 · 2 casesDifficulty

What AI gets right here, and what you’ll still have to catch

From 12 graded outputs by 6 models. 58% were usable with at most a quick edit.

Reliably right

  1. Respects explicit constraints100% pass
    It is a findings summary for the product team and is under the 600-word limit.
    GPT-6 Astra · ChatGPT · Eight calls with finance teams
  2. Produces the required deliverable100% pass
    The summary is complete, usable, and would let a PM act with only light edits.
    GPT-6 Astra · ChatGPT · Eight calls with finance teams
  3. Keeps dissent visible100% pass
    The SaaS and charity close-is-fine views and the manufacturing CFO's switching regret are kept visible.
    GPT-6 Astra · ChatGPT · Eight calls with finance teams

Where it slips

  1. Says how many sources support each finding52% pass
    Findings reference call numbers but do not say how many of the eight support each theme, and it uses an unsupported universal.
    Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · Gemini · Eight calls with finance teams
  2. Avoids unsupported claims56% pass
    The bottom line asserts 'Adoption will depend on handling messy data and reducing switching effort' as an established forecast, though the evidence only suggests it.
    GPT-6.1 Sol · API · Eight calls with finance teams
  3. Uses the supplied evidence correctly65% pass
    The output states the calls happened in August 2026, but the supplied context only says August without a year; this date is an invented fact not supported by the brief.
    Opus 5.5 · Claude · Eight calls with finance teams

Case viewer

Read the brief, then put up to three outputs side by side, each with the LLM judge’s verdict on every check. Highlights mark what a PM had to fix.

The brief

Synthesise the eight discovery calls below with finance leads about month-end close. Write a findings summary for the product team, who are deciding whether to build a reconciliation product: what we learned, and how confident we can be in it. Keep it under 600 words.

ScenarioWe make spend-management software for mid-sized companies and are exploring a reconciliation product. Our PM ran these 40-minute calls in August. Below are the relevant excerpts from each, lightly edited.
Call 1: Financial controller, logistics company (180 staff)“Close takes us eight working days and at least three of those are reconciliation. The bank feed drops transactions, so we tick and bash against statements in Excel.” Asked what she'd pay to fix it: “If it gave me two days back, it pays for itself. But I've heard that before.”
Call 2: Head of finance, SaaS company (95 staff)“Honestly close is fine. We moved to a proper ERP two years ago, it's five days and nobody's complaining.” Later: “The only annoying bit is chasing people for receipts, not reconciling.”
Call 3: Finance manager, retail chain (400 staff)“Card transactions are the nightmare. Hundreds of store cards, the statements come in as PDFs, someone re-keys them. We found £14k of duplicates last quarter.” She reconciles card spend in a shared spreadsheet with four people editing it.
Call 4: CFO, manufacturing company (250 staff)“We switched reconciliation tools last year and I regret it. The migration took four months, we lost all our matching rules, and half the team quietly went back to spreadsheets.” Asked if he'd switch again: “Not unless someone else does the migration for us. Never again otherwise.”
Call 5: Accountant, agency group (120 staff)“Intercompany is where it breaks. Three entities, money moving between them every week, and the balances never agree at month end. I spend a day and a half on it.”
Call 6: Finance director, charity (70 staff)“Close is fine for us. We're small, two of us, it takes four days and we know every transaction.” When asked about tools: “We'd not pay for anything new this year; budgets are frozen.”
Call 7: Controller, hospitality group (300 staff)“Payment processor payouts are the worst: they net off fees and refunds, so nothing matches the bank line. We reconcile by hand and it's always the last thing holding up close.”
Call 8: Financial controller, construction firm (210 staff)“Reconciliation is about 40% of my close. It's not hard, it's just volume, matching the same things every month.” On automation: “I'd want to see it match our messy data before I believed it. Every demo uses clean data.”
What a strong answer does

Themes with honest counts (five of eight describe reconciliation pain, from different sources), the two who say close is fine and the CFO's switching regret kept visible, and hypotheses about willingness to pay and switching cost labelled as such.

Critical failures (cap the score)
  • Invents a quote
Case

v1.7 · anonymised real · B2B, finance

Usable with a quick edit8 of 9 checks passed

The output is evidence-backed and actionable as-is. A PM would only need to add an explicit build trigger, which is a light edit.

Output

Month-end close discovery: findings summary

Bottom line

Reconciliation is a real, recurring pain for mid-sized finance teams, but these eight calls don't yet show which product to build or whether anyone will pay for it. I'd treat this as grounds for a further, more targeted round of research, not a build decision.

What we learned

1. Five of eight leads have a real reconciliation problem (calls 1, 3, 5, 7, 8). Two said close is fine (calls 2 and 6), and one has a tool and regrets it (call 4).

2. They describe different problems, not one. - Bank feeds dropping transactions, matched by hand in Excel (call 1) - Card statements arriving as PDFs and re-keyed, with £14k of duplicates in a quarter (call 3) - Intercompany balances that never agree, costing about 1.5 days (call 5) - Payment processor payouts that net off fees and refunds, and are always the last thing holding up close (call 7) - Sheer matching volume, about 40% of one controller's close (call 8)

No problem appears in more than one call, so we can't yet say which is most common or most valuable.

3. The time cost is meaningful but self-reported. Estimates ranged from 1.5 days to 3 of 8 days. These are recollections, not measurements.

4. Those who are fine tend to be smaller or better equipped. The two "close is fine" leads are the smallest companies in the sample (70 and 95 staff), and one already has a modern ERP. This is suggestive at best with eight calls. The pain sits mostly in the 180–400 staff range.

5. Adoption barriers are as prominent as the pain. - Call 4's failed migration (four months, lost matching rules, team back on spreadsheets) is a warning about switching costs. He would only switch again if someone else did the migration. - Call 8 won't believe automation works until he sees it handle messy data: "Every demo uses clean data." - Call 1 is sceptical: "I've heard that before."

6. Willingness to pay is essentially untested. Only call 1 gave a conditional answer ("if it gave me two days back, it pays for itself"), and she hedged it. Call 6 has a budget freeze. No one expressed urgency or asked about pricing.

7. An adjacent finding: call 2's only complaint was chasing receipts, which sits closer to our existing spend-management product than reconciliation does.

How confident can we be?

ClaimConfidence
Reconciliation is a meaningful time sink for some mid-sized teamsModerate
Pain varies by reconciliation typeModerate to high (consistent across calls)
Size of the time savingLow (self-reported, varied definitions)
Willingness to payLow (one hedged signal)
Which segment or use case to targetLow
Smaller or ERP-equipped firms are a weaker fitLow (three data points)

Other limitations: - Eight calls is a small sample, and we don't know how participants were recruited, so existing customers or those already interested may be overrepresented. - The excerpts are edited and one interviewer ran all the calls. - Hypothetical questions ("would you pay?") overstate real intent.

Suggested next steps

  1. Pick a wedge. Card reconciliation (call 3) is closest to our current product. Follow up with calls 3, 5 and 7 to size how often each problem occurs and what it costs.
  2. Test with real data. Ask call 8 and similar leads for anonymised, messy samples to see whether matching is feasible.
  3. Design for migration. Call 4 suggests onboarding and preserving matching rules may decide adoption. Treat this as a product requirement, not an afterthought.
  4. Test price and urgency. Use concrete pricing or a paid pilot, not hypotheticals.
  5. Widen the sample. Include firms of 150–500 staff and a mix of ERP and non-ERP setups, and record how each participant was recruited.

Check by check

Mixed · 1
  • Addresses the actual decisionIt recommends more research but does not state what specific result or condition would trigger a build decision.The two graders disagreed on this one.
Got right · 8
  • Uses the supplied evidence correctlyAll factual statements trace to the supplied calls, with no invented current-situation facts.
  • Respects explicit constraintsThe output is a findings summary for the product team and is under the 600-word limit.
  • Identifies material uncertaintyIt names unknown WTP, segment, and time savings, and says how to resolve them in next steps.
  • Avoids unsupported claimsHypotheses and limitations are labelled as suggestive or untested, not as established fact.
  • Produces the required deliverableThe summary is complete, readable, and directly usable by the product team.
  • Keeps dissent visibleThe two close-is-fine calls and the CFO's switching regret are kept visible throughout.
  • Weights behaviour over opinionIt flags self-reported recollections and hypothetical pricing as weaker than observed behaviours and workarounds.
  • Says how many sources support each findingFindings consistently include source counts ('five of eight', 'two said', 'call 4').

Grades and run details

Decision model 100 · LLM judge 9 of 10 checks
Decision model checks
  • passUses the supplied evidence correctly60%
  • passAddresses the actual decision82%
  • passRespects explicit constraints44%
  • passIdentifies material uncertainty100%
  • passAvoids unsupported claims35%
  • passProduces the required deliverable72%
  • passKeeps dissent visible99%
  • passWeights behaviour over opinion97%
  • passSays how many sources support each finding61%
Run
Run
#1
API response time
18 s
Submitted
29 Sept 2026

Needs more than a quick edit3 of 9 checks passed

The output contains a false universal claim and lacks source counts per theme. A PM would need to re-check the call evidence before using it.

Output

Product Findings: Month-End Close & Reconciliation Opportunities

We spoke with eight finance leads at mid-sized companies (70–400 staff) to evaluate appetite for a reconciliation product. Here is what we learned, followed by our confidence assessment.

---

What We Learned

#### 1. Pain is Acute, but Fragmented by Niche Reconciliation is universally recognized as a bottleneck1, but the root cause varies heavily by business model: * Retail, Hospitality & Construction (High Volume/Messy Data): Companies dealing with multiple store cards (Call 3), complex payment processor payouts (Call 7), or high-volume line items (Call 8) spend up to 40% of their close cycle manually matching data in shared spreadsheets or re-keying PDF statements.3 * Agencies & Multi-Entity (Intercompany): Multi-entity structures suffer from recurring intercompany balancing discrepancies that defy easy automation4 (Call 5). * Logistics (Basic Bank Feeds): Basic bank feed drops force manual tick-and-bash routines in Excel (Call 1).

#### 2. Adoption Barriers and Skepticism Run High Even where pain is severe, market entry is fraught with buyer resistance: * Migration PTSD: Switching costs are massive. One CFO noted a four-month migration failure that destroyed custom matching rules and drove staff back to spreadsheets, refusing to switch again unless migration is fully managed (Call 4). * Deep Trust Deficit: Finance leads have been burned by over-promised automation and pristine demo environments. They demand proof on their own messy data before believing claims (Calls 1 & 8). * Budget Freezes & Apathy: Smaller teams (70–95 staff) with clean ERP setups or frozen budgets report no pressing need for new point solutions (Calls 2 & 6).

---

Confidence Assessment: Low-Moderate (Conditional)

  • Problem Validation (High Confidence): We are highly confident that reconciliation is tedious, manual, and a major driver of close delays in high-volume, multi-card, or multi-entity businesses.
  • Commercial Viability (Low-Moderate Confidence): Despite the pain, we cannot rely on a self-serve, software-only motion.2 High switching friction, deep skepticism toward AI/automation demos, and strict migration/implementation requirements mean buyers will churn or bounce without hands-on onboarding.

#### Recommendation Do not build a generic, self-serve reconciliation tool. If we proceed, the product must include a heavy-touch onboarding/migration service to overcome migration PTSD, alongside a "sandbox" feature allowing prospects to test matching rules on their actual messy data before purchasing.

What a PM had to fix

  1. 1Invented evidenceVerify or remove the claimSubstantial rework

    Source: Call 2: Head of finance, SaaS company (95 staff)Honestly close is fine.

    What we’d changeSay most, not all: two of eight say close is fine. Keep that dissent visible rather than folding it into 'apathy'.

  2. 2Hypothesis stated as factReframe it as a hypothesisTargeted repair

    What we’d changeScale the conclusion back to what eight calls show: adoption concerns from a few leads, not proof a self-serve product can't work. Give a confidence level per claim.

  3. 3Numbers wrongRedo the arithmeticTargeted repair

    Source: Call 8: Financial controller, construction firm (210 staff)Reconciliation is about 40% of my close.

    What we’d changeOnly Call 8 gives the 40% figure. Don't spread it across retail and hospitality.

  4. 4Hypothesis stated as factReframe it as a hypothesisQuick edit

    Source: Call 5: Accountant, agency group (120 staff)Intercompany is where it breaks.

    What we’d changeNothing in Call 5 says it defies automation. Report the day and a half it takes instead.

Check by check

Got wrong · 6
  • Uses the supplied evidence correctlyIt asserts reconciliation is 'universally recognized as a bottleneck' even though Calls 2 and 6 describe close as fine, and it overstates Call 1/8 as 'burned by over-promised automation'.
  • Addresses the actual decisionThe call is only made at the end and does not state what result or condition would change it.
  • Identifies material uncertaintyIt labels confidence low-moderate but does not name specific unknowns or how they would be resolved.
  • Avoids unsupported claimsIt presents 'universally' and 'burned by over-promised automation' as established fact rather than as hypotheses.
  • Weights behaviour over opinionIt does not label themes by evidence type or flag stated preferences, such as Call 4's refusal to switch, as weaker than observed workarounds.
  • Says how many sources support each findingFindings reference call numbers but do not say how many of the eight support each theme, and it uses an unsupported universal.
Got right · 3
  • Respects explicit constraintsIt delivers a findings summary under 600 words for the product team, with no apparent violation of stated constraints.
  • Produces the required deliverableThe required summary, confidence assessment and recommendation are present and readable, though some claims need correction.
  • Keeps dissent visibleIt keeps Call 2, Call 6, and Call 4's switching regret visible.

Claims the judge couldn’t find in the brief

  • Reconciliation is universally recognized as a bottleneck.
  • Finance leads have been burned by over-promised automation and pristine demo environments, and demand proof on their own messy data (Calls 1 & 8).

Grades and run details

Decision model 56 · LLM judge 3 of 10 checks
Decision model checks
  • failUses the supplied evidence correctly29%
  • partialAddresses the actual decision36%
  • passRespects explicit constraints24%
  • partialIdentifies material uncertainty43%
  • failAvoids unsupported claims65%
  • passProduces the required deliverable58%
  • passKeeps dissent visible85%
  • partialWeights behaviour over opinion21%
  • partialSays how many sources support each finding46%
Artefacts
Run
Run
#1
Time to output
7 s
Submitted
24 Sept 2026

Results

Every setup we’ve tested on this task, across all cases and repeats, graded on the current checklist. Calibrated: the graders match our PM on 85% of checks.

#Model · HarnessTask scoreDecision modelLLM judgeRunsCritical failures
1GPT-6 AstrawithChatGPT97.295.02None
2GPT-6.1 SolwithAPI94.490.02None
3GPT-6 LunawithAPI88.980.02None
4Sonnet 5.5withAPI94.465.02None
5Opus 5.5withClaude75.070.02None
6Gemini 3.5 Flash-LitewithGemini52.830.02None

About the task

The PM job

Turning a stack of call transcripts into what we actually learned.

Why it matters

Synthesis is where teams fool themselves. A model that smooths away dissent or turns one loud customer into a trend produces confident, wrong roadmaps.

What good looks like

  • Quotes evidence for each theme and counts sources honestly
  • Weights what customers did above what they say they'd do
  • Keeps important dissent visible
  • Labels hypotheses as hypotheses
  • Says what the research cannot tell us

Deliberately not measured

  • Transcript clean-up
  • Persona illustration
Capability tested

Faithful synthesis of qualitative research

The failure we’re looking for

Invents customer consensus or loses important dissent

Grading

Decision model and LLM judge, calibrated against a blind PM review