Tasks / Metrics & Experimentation

Draft OKRs

Can the model turn a team's wish list into a few outcome-based OKRs that add up to the company's goals?

Task type v1.1 · 2 tasksLast changed 6 Oct 2026 · ChangelogDifficulty

What AI gets right here, and what you’ll still have to catch

From 16 graded outputs by 8 models. 56% were usable with at most a quick edit.

Reliably right

  1. Builds the key results on the data100% pass
    Key results 2 and 3 are built directly on the first-week joining data and time-to-shared-note data, with baselines from the brief and targets.
    GPT-6.1 Sol · API · Eleven key results and a bonus
  2. Addresses the actual decision97% pass
    The output commits to a clear rewritten OKR set and a note explaining the changes, framed for the squad, and states that targets are proposed pending feasibility review.
    GPT-6.1 Sol · API · Eleven key results and a bonus
  3. Focuses on the big rock94% pass
    The output reduces the draft to one objective with three KRs, explicitly drops dark mode, AI summaries, and NPS, and explains why.
    GPT-6.1 Sol · API · Eleven key results and a bonus

Where it slips

  1. Flags the bonus link59% pass
    Mentions bonus multipliers only to justify outcome KRs; does not name the risk of safe targets or suggest decoupling OKR scores from bonuses.
    Haiku 5.5 · API · Eleven key results and a bonus
  2. Avoids unsupported claims69% pass
    Presents 'the gap is correlation' and 'the safe play is to pick easy KRs' as facts without labeling them as hypotheses.
    Sonnet 5.5 · API · Eleven key results and a bonus
  3. Identifies material uncertainty69% pass
    The output does not name any specific unknowns that could change the OKRs or how they would be resolved.
    GPT-6 Luna · API · Eleven key results and a bonus

How it’s graded

Each check is built on how world-class product and growth leaders do this work, as they’ve described it on Lenny’s Podcast, and names the leader it comes from.

  1. Key results are outcomes, not output

    Is every key result a measurable change in customer or business behaviour, rather than something the team will ship or do?

    Passes when Every key result names a metric with a baseline and a target; shipping work appears only as initiatives that serve them.

  2. Focuses on the big rock

    Does the output cut the goals down to the few that matter most, rather than covering everything the team could do?

    Passes when Few objectives, each with a small number of key results, and says what was dropped and why.

  3. Shows how the goals add up

    Does the output show how each team-level key result contributes to the company-level goals, and flag any that don't?

    Passes when Every key result is linked to a company goal, with the reasoning or data that connects them, and any that serve no company goal are flagged or cut.

Plus our standard checks

Uses the supplied evidence correctly · Addresses the actual decision · Respects explicit constraints · Identifies material uncertainty · Avoids unsupported claims · Produces the required deliverable · and 2 written for each task, which you’ll see in the tasks below.

The tasks

Read the brief, then compare up to three outputs, each with the LLM judge’s verdict on every check. Highlights mark what a PM had to fix.

The brief

You're a Staff PM at Pathwise, working for the CPO, Grace Mensah. Last quarter's OKR scorecard is below, along with the company goal it was meant to serve. Grace wants a memo of no more than 1,100 words: what last quarter's OKRs actually tell us (not just the scores), and next quarter's OKRs for the Learner app, Admin and Growth teams, each with baselines and targets, that add up to the company goal.\n\nThe files are attached.

What the model was given5 items: About Pathwise, company_okr_q3.md, okr_scorecard_q3.csv (team_label is the type each team gave its key result), metric_dictionary.md, churn_reasons_q3.md
About PathwiseOnline learning for companies: courses employees take, and tools for the HR and L&D teams who buy it. Sold per seat on annual contracts.
company_okr_q3.md7 lines · Download
# Company OKR, Q3 (set by the CEO)

Objective: grow by keeping and expanding the customers we have.
- Net revenue retention: from 103% to 108%. Actual: 102%.
- Quarterly logo churn: from 3.1% to 2.5%. Actual: 3.4%.

Q3 average key result score across product teams: 0.81. The all-hands slide said "a great quarter".
okr_scorecard_q3.csv (team_label is the type each team gave its key result)team,objective,key_result,team_label,baseline,target,actual,score Content,Best course library in L&D,Publish 40 new courses,output,0,40,41,1.00 Content,Best course library in L&D,Course completion rate,outcome,41,55,58,1.00 Content,Best course library in L&D,Translate top 20 courses into 3 languages,output,0,60,60,1.00 Learner app,Learning people love,Ship mobile offline mode,output,0,1,1,1.00 Learner app,Learning people love,Weekly active learners per seat,outcome,0.31,0.4,0.29,0.00 Learner app,Learning people love,Ship streaks and badges,output,0,1,1,1.00 Learner app,Learning people love,App store rating,outcome,4.2,4.6,4.5,0.75 Admin,Admins get value fast,Launch 3 HRIS integrations,outcome,0,3,3,1.00 Admin,Admins get value fast,Days from contract to first learner,outcome,34,14,31,0.15 Admin,Admins get value fast,Ship new reporting dashboard,output,0,1,1,1.00 Growth,Expand inside accounts,Seats added in existing accounts,outcome,9200,14000,8100,0.00 Growth,Expand inside accounts,Run 12 expansion experiments,output,0,12,13,1.00 Growth,Expand inside accounts,Launch in-app upgrade prompts,output,0,1,1,1.00 Platform,Reliable at scale,Uptime,outcome,99.5,99.9,99.93,1.00 Platform,Reliable at scale,Migrate to new video CDN,output,0,1,1,1.00 Platform,Reliable at scale,Close 150 bugs,output,0,150,162,1.00
metric_dictionary.md5 lines · Download
# Metric dictionary (excerpt)

- Course completion rate: share of course enrolments marked complete. Until 31 July "complete" meant every module finished. From 1 August it means 80% of modules finished (changed so completion matches the certificate rule).
- Weekly active learners per seat: learners who start or continue a course in a week, divided by paid seats.
- Days from contract to first learner: calendar days from contract signature to the first learner starting a course.
churn_reasons_q3.md8 lines · Download
# Why accounts left in Q3 (exit interviews, 38 accounts)

- "Our people didn't use it": 17
- Budget cut: 9
- Moved to the LMS that came with our HR system: 7
- Content didn't fit our industry: 5

…
What a strong answer doesThe answer key the graders mark against

Reads the scorecard for what it is: the average is 0.81, but every output key result scored 1.00 (things shipped) while outcome key results averaged about 0.48, and the company missed both goals (NRR 102% against 108%, churn 3.4% against 2.5%). Two scores flatter: 'Launch 3 HRIS integrations' is labelled an outcome but is output, and course completion only 'beat' its target because completion was redefined on 1 August (all modules to 80%), so the result can't be compared with its baseline. The outcome key results that matter for churn moved backwards or barely (weekly active learners per seat 0.31 to 0.29; days to first learner 34 to 31; seats added 8,100 against 9,200). Builds next quarter's OKRs on the churn evidence: low usage is the top exit reason, and accounts reaching a first learner within 14 days churn at a third of the rate. So Admin owns days from contract to first learner (from 31), Learner app owns weekly active learners per seat (from 0.29), Growth owns seats added in existing accounts or net expansion, each with a baseline from the files and a target, with shipping work as initiatives. Notes the completion metric needs restating on one definition before anyone uses it.

Critical failures (cap the score at 40)
  • Describes last quarter as a success on the strength of the 0.81 average
Task

Staff-level · v1.0

The outputs

8 setups answered this brief.

Usable with a quick edit11 of 11 checks passed

The memo is logically structured, rooted in the evidence, and could be sent with minimal edits after pulling the TBD baselines and confirming the proposed company targets.

Output

To: Grace Mensah, CPO From: Staff PM Re: What Q3 OKRs told us, and Q4 team OKRs that add up to the company goal

Bottom line

Q3 looked like a good quarter (0.81 average) but failed on the goal it was meant to serve. We shipped almost everything we planned and moved the customer numbers the wrong way. Q4 needs to be built around the three things customers told us drive churn: people not using the product, slow time to first learner, and seat growth that depends on usage. Output shipping stays, but it no longer counts as success on its own.

What Q3 actually tells us

The 0.81 is a shipping score. Of 16 key results, nine were outputs (things we built, published, or closed). All nine scored 1.00. Outcomes scored 0.56 on average, and the outcome KRs that map to the company goal mostly failed:

  • Net revenue retention: 102% against a 108% target, and down from the 103% baseline.
  • Quarterly logo churn: 3.4% against a 2.5% target, and worse than the 3.1% baseline.
  • Seats added in existing accounts: 8,100, down from 9,200. Growth shipped 13 experiments and a prompt, and expansion still fell.
  • Weekly active learners per seat: 0.29, down from 0.31. Usage declined while we shipped streaks and offline mode.
  • Days from contract to first learner: 31, down from 34 against a target of 14. We barely moved the number that most affects churn.

The bright spots are real but don't map to the goal: app rating rose from 4.2 to 4.5, and uptime is ahead of target.

Why the goal didn't move: the team KRs never owned it. No team had NRR or churn as its KR. Each team optimized its own outputs, and the company numbers fell in the gaps between them.

The exit interviews say where the gaps are. Of 38 accounts that left in Q3:

  • 17 (45%): "Our people didn't use it." This is adoption, which sits with the Learner app and with the onboarding that Admin owns.
  • 9 (24%): budget cut. Hard to move directly, but more likely when usage is low.
  • 7 (18%): moved to the LMS that came with their HR system. Our three HRIS integrations did not stop this. We need to know which HR systems these accounts used.
  • 5 (13%): content didn't fit their industry. This is Content's problem, and it isn't in this memo's scope.

The most useful finding is the activation data: accounts that reached a first learner within 14 days churned at one-third the rate of the rest. Our average is 31 days. Activation speed is probably our highest-leverage lever, and Q3 barely touched it.

The completion rate score can't be trusted. On 1 August we changed the definition of "complete" from every module finished to 80% of modules finished. The 41→58 movement (scored 1.00) mixes two definitions, and the new definition is looser. Some or all of that gain is a measurement change, not learning. We should restate the Q2 baseline on the new definition before anyone cites this number. Until then it should not count as a win.

A smaller measurement issue: "Launch 3 HRIS integrations" was labeled an outcome but is really a count of shipped work. It should be an output, paired with an adoption outcome.

What this means for Q4

We should commit to the company numbers and make the team KRs add up to them. My proposal:

  • Net revenue retention: 102% → 106% at Q4 end (108% stays the year-end target, but I don't think it's reachable in one quarter from 102%).
  • Quarterly logo churn: 3.4% → 2.8%.

Churn and expansion both depend on usage, so I've set team targets on usage and activation rather than on shipping. Finance should confirm how much each lever contributes to NRR. I've assumed both churn and seat expansion have to move for the 106% target to hold.

Q4 team OKRs

Each team has two outcome KRs. Output KRs can sit underneath as supporting work but are not scored toward the goal. "TBD" baselines need to be pulled in week one, before targets are locked.

TeamObjectiveKey resultQ3 baselineQ4 target
Learner appLearners come back every weekWeekly active learners per seat0.290.35
Share of learners active in week 2 after their first courseTBD (pull week 1)Set week 2; expect +10 pts
AdminAccounts get a first learner fastMedian days from contract to first learner3121
Share of new contracts reaching first learner within 14 daysTBD (pull week 1)Set week 2 once baseline is known
GrowthExpansion follows real usageSeats added in existing accounts8,10010,500
Renewal-risk accounts (low usage, renewal in 90 days) with a named save planTBD (pull week 1)100% covered; save rate tracked

How the teams connect to the goal

  • Learner app reduces the 17 "didn't use it" churns. Higher weekly usage also feeds expansion, since seat growth needs people actually learning.
  • Admin targets the 14-day activation link. Getting the median from 31 to 21 days should move the share of accounts inside 14 days, which is where the churn gap is. The HRIS KR should be reviewed in week 2 by checking which HR systems the seven accounts that left for their HR LMS were using.
  • Growth stops measuring success as experiments run and starts measuring seats added in accounts that use the product. Expansion in low-usage accounts is a risk, not a win, so the renewal-risk KR makes Growth own the save motion for the budget-cut and low-usage accounts.

Decisions I need from you

  1. Agree the company targets (NRR 106%, churn 2.8%), or tell me to hold 108% and accept the risk.
  2. Restate completion rate. Finance or Data should back-calculate the Q2 baseline under the new definition. Until then Content's completion KR cannot be scored.
  3. Assign the churn-reason KR to a single owner. Right now no one owns the 38 exit interviews. I suggest Customer Success, reporting to you monthly.
  4. Content's fit problem. Five churns cited content fit. Content's Q4 OKRs should include an industry-fit KR. I'd like to discuss this with the Content lead before it's locked.

I can have the baselines pulled and the final targets locked by the end of week two.

Grades and run details

Decision model 91 · LLM judge 100
Decision model checks
  • passUses the supplied evidence correctly38%
  • passAddresses the actual decision41%
  • passRespects explicit constraints21%
  • passIdentifies material uncertainty80%
  • partialAvoids unsupported claims51%
  • partialProduces the required deliverable31%
  • passReads the scorecard for what it is91%
  • passCatches the redefined key result100%
  • passKey results are outcomes, not output73%
  • passFocuses on the big rock79%
  • passShows how the goals add up27%
Run
Run
#1
API response time
32 s
Submitted
8 Oct 2026

Needs more than a quick edit2 of 11 checks passed

The memo invents baselines for new metrics not in the supplied data, and includes output key results that are things to ship, requiring rework of the OKRs and verification of baselines before use.

Output

MEMORANDUM

TO: Grace Mensah, Chief Product Officer FROM: Staff PM, Product DATE: October 2, 2023 SUBJECT: Q3 OKR Post-Mortem & Q4 Product OKRs

---

Part 1: What Q3 Actually Tells Us (Beyond the 0.81 Score)

On paper, Q3 looked like a triumph. The company-wide average key result score across product teams was 0.81, prompting celebratory remarks at the all-hands. However, a closer look at the data reveals a stark disconnect between our product output and the company’s core objective: growth by keeping and expanding the customers we have.

The company's Q3 goals failed. Net Revenue Retention (NRR) dropped from our baseline of 103% to an actual of 102% (target: 108%), and quarterly logo churn rose from 3.1% to 3.4% (target: 2.5%).

Why did we miss our financial and retention targets while hitting an 0.81 KR score? The data points to a systemic structural flaw in how we set and measure OKRs: we rewarded teams for shipping outputs, while outcomes that actually drive retention and expansion flatlined or missed.

1. The Output-Outcome Illusion: Look at the team scorecards. Every single output KR scored 1.00. Content published 41 courses (target 40), translated 60 items, shipped mobile offline mode, shipped streaks and badges, launched three HRIS integrations, shipped a new reporting dashboard, ran 13 expansion experiments, launched in-app upgrade prompts, migrated a video CDN, and closed 162 bugs. We were exceptionally busy. Conversely, our critical outcomes largely failed: * Learner App: Weekly active learners per seat plummeted from 0.31 to an actual of 0.29 (target: 0.40, score: 0.00). * Admin: Days from contract to first learner barely budged, moving from 34 to 31 days (target: 14 days, score: 0.15). * Growth: Seats added in existing accounts fell from a baseline of 9,200 to 8,100 (target: 14,000, score: 0.00).

2. The Root Causes of Churn: Our Q3 exit interviews across 38 churned accounts provide the smoking gun. The leading reason for churn—cited by nearly half (17 out of 38)—was simple: "Our people didn't use it." Furthermore, the data reveals a powerful operational lever we have ignored: accounts that reached their first learner within 14 days of contract signature churned at one-third of the rate of the rest. Yet, our Admin team’s initiative to reduce this time stalled at 31 days.

3. Metric Distortions: Even our apparent wins require scrutiny. Content’s course completion rate hit 1.00 (rising from 41% to 58%), but the metric dictionary reveals a rule change on August 1st: the definition of "complete" was quietly lowered from 100% of modules finished to 80%. The "success" is largely an artifact of moving the goalposts.

The Takeaway: In Q3, product engineering functioned as an effective feature factory, but those features did not translate into user engagement, rapid time-to-value, or account expansion. To fix NRR and logo churn in Q4, we must completely realign product incentives away from output delivery and lock them onto core engagement and adoption metrics.

---

Part 2: Q4 OKRs for Learner App, Admin, and Growth Teams

To directly support the CEO's ongoing company objective—grow by keeping and expanding the customers we have—we are restructuring Q4 OKRs. Every team’s objectives are anchored to lagging retention drivers (engagement, time-to-value, and expansion).

#### 1. Learner App Team * Context & Rationale: With 17 out of 38 churned accounts citing lack of employee usage, the Learner App team must pivot away from vanity features (streaks and badges shipped in Q3 did nothing to stop the drop) and focus entirely on driving habitual weekly usage. * Objective: Drive habitual engagement to secure employee adoption and prevent account-level churn. * Key Results: * KR 1 (Outcome): Increase weekly active learners per seat from 0.29 to 0.36. (Baseline: 0.29, Target: 0.36) * KR 2 (Outcome): Increase 30-day course retention rate for newly enrolled learners from 22% to 35%. (Baseline: 22%, Target: 35%) * KR 3 (Output): Ship personalized "Next Step" AI recommendations on the home screen to streamline the path from login to learning. (Baseline: 0, Target: 1)

#### 2. Admin Team * Context & Rationale: Exit data proves that getting the first learner active within 14 days slashes churn by two-thirds. In Q3, we focused on HRIS integrations (output), but customers still languished for 31 days before their employees started learning. Admin must own the friction reduction between contract signature and organizational activation. * Objective: Accelerate time-to-value so customer organizations realize immediate ROI. * Key Results: * KR 1 (Outcome): Reduce days from contract signature to first learner from 31 days to 14 days. (Baseline: 31, Target: 14) * KR 2 (Outcome): Increase self-serve HRIS integration completion rate (admins successfully connecting without support intervention) from 40% to 75%. (Baseline: 40%, Target: 75%) * KR 3 (Output): Launch automated "Nudge Admin" workflow triggers when zero learners are active 7 days post-contract. (Baseline: 0, Target: 1)

#### 3. Growth Team * Context & Rationale: Q3 saw expansion seats drop to 8,100 against a 14,000 target. Running 12 experiments and launching upgrade prompts generated output, but no revenue expansion. Growth must transition from running experiments to driving net-new seat expansion inside existing healthy accounts. * Objective: Expand footprint and seat count within existing healthy accounts. * Key Results: * KR 1 (Outcome): Increase net new seats added in existing accounts from 8,100 (Q3 actual) to 12,500. (Baseline: 8,100, Target: 12,500) * KR 2 (Outcome): Increase conversion rate of in-app upgrade prompts from trial/capped tiers to paid seat expansions from 1.2% to 3.5%. (Baseline: 1.2%, Target: 3.5%) * KR 3 (Output): Launch automated team-invitation workflows for departmental managers in accounts nearing seat capacity limits. (Baseline: 0, Target: 1)

Claims the judge couldn’t find in the brief

  • 30-day course retention rate for newly enrolled learners baseline is 22%
  • Self-serve HRIS integration completion rate baseline is 40%
  • Conversion rate of in-app upgrade prompts baseline is 1.2%
  • Streaks and badges shipped in Q3 did nothing to stop the drop in weekly active learners
  • Product engineering functioned as an effective feature factory

Grades and run details

Decision model 41 · LLM judge 25
Decision model checks
  • failUses the supplied evidence correctly86%
  • passAddresses the actual decision42%
  • failRespects explicit constraints12%
  • failIdentifies material uncertainty36%
  • failAvoids unsupported claims36%
  • partialProduces the required deliverable48%
  • passReads the scorecard for what it is98%
  • partialCatches the redefined key result95%
  • partialKey results are outcomes, not output55%
  • partialFocuses on the big rock30%
  • partialShows how the goals add up87%
Run
Run
#1
Time to output
8 s
Submitted
5 Oct 2026

Check by check

Where the outputs differ comes first. Open a check to read the judge’s reasons. “Mixed” means the two graders disagreed.

Where they differ 9

Uses the supplied evidence correctlyRightWrong
Haiku 5.5 · API

All factual claims about the current situation are directly drawn from the supplied context or derived by arithmetic, with no invented facts.

Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · Gemini

The output invents baselines for new metrics (30-day course retention 22%, self-serve HRIS integration completion 40%, in-app upgrade prompt conversion 1.2%) that are not in the supplied context.

Addresses the actual decisionRightMixed
Haiku 5.5 · API

The memo commits to clear next-quarter OKRs for the three teams with baselines and targets, and also proposes company-level targets while asking for CPO decision on them.

Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · Gemini

The memo does not state what result or condition would change the recommended OKRs, failing to meet the requirement to say what would change the answer.

Respects explicit constraintsRightMixed
Haiku 5.5 · API

The output is a memo under 1,100 words, addressed to the CPO, includes the requested analysis and team OKRs with baselines and targets, and proposes them for the named teams.

Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · Gemini

The output is a memo under 1,100 words, addressed to Grace Mensah, and includes the requested analysis and next-quarter OKRs with baselines and targets.

Identifies material uncertaintyRightWrong
Haiku 5.5 · API

The memo flags TBD baselines that need pulling, the need to restate the completion rate baseline, the unknown HR systems behind churn, and the lever contributions to NRR, bounding uncertainty and stating what would resolve it.

Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · Gemini

The output names no unknowns that could change the decision and does not say how they would be resolved.

Avoids unsupported claimsRightWrong
Haiku 5.5 · API

Interpretations like the disconnect between team KRs and company goals are grounded in the scorecard data; no cause or forecast is presented as fact without evidence, and the tone remains analytical.

Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · Gemini

Causal claims like 'streaks and badges did nothing to stop the drop' and 'product engineering functioned as an effective feature factory' are presented as fact without being labelled as hypotheses.

Catches the redefined key resultRightWrong
Haiku 5.5 · API

The memo flags both the 1 August redefinition of course completion that invalidates the baseline comparison and the mislabeling of 'Launch 3 HRIS integrations' as an outcome.

Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · Gemini

The memo catches the course completion redefinition but does not mention that the 'Launch 3 HRIS integrations' KR is output mislabelled as outcome.

Key results are outcomes, not outputRightWrong
Haiku 5.5 · API

All proposed Q4 key results are behavioural or business metrics with baselines and targets; shipping work is demoted to supporting initiatives.

Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · Gemini

Each team's third key result is a thing to ship (e.g., 'Ship personalized AI recommendations'), not a measurable change in customer or business behaviour.

Focuses on the big rockRightWrong
Haiku 5.5 · API

The proposal gives each team two outcome KRs tied to activation and usage, explicitly drops output KRs from scoring, and leaves Content's fit problem for separate discussion.

Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · Gemini

The output does not state what was dropped from the previous quarter's scope or why, failing the requirement to cut goals down to the few that matter most.

Shows how the goals add upRightWrong
Haiku 5.5 · API

The 'How the teams connect to the goal' section links each KR to the company NRR/churn goals, explaining that Learner app addresses 'didn’t use it' churn, Admin targets 14‑day activation, and Growth shifts to usage‑linked expansion.

Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · Gemini

The output key results (shipping features) are not linked to a company goal with reasoning or data, and no KR is flagged as not serving a company goal.

All got right 2

Produces the required deliverableRightRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

The memo is a complete, actionable deliverable for the CPO: it analyses Q3, sets Q4 team OKRs with metrics, flags open decisions, and fits within the word limit.

Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · Gemini

The memo is complete, in the right form, within the word limit, and a PM could act on its structure with light edits.

Reads the scorecard for what it isRightRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

The memo explicitly separates output KRs (all 1.00) from outcome KRs (average ~0.56) and sets them against the missed company goals of NRR and churn, without relying on the 0.81 average.

Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · Gemini

The memo explicitly splits output KRs (all scored 1.00) from outcome KRs (most missed) and contrasts them with the missed company goals.

Results

Every setup we’ve tested on this task type, across all its tasks and repeats, graded on the current checklist. Calibrated. Where our PM checked the graders by hand, they agreed on 100% of 12 checks.

#Model · HarnessTask scoreDecision modelLLM judgeRunsCritical failures
1GPT-6 AstrawithChatGPT97.7100.02None
2GPT-6.1 SolwithAPI97.7100.02None
3Haiku 5.5withAPI95.595.82None
4Sonnet 5.5withAPI90.991.72None
5GPT-6 LunawithAPI88.679.22None
6Opus 5.5withClaude93.279.22None
7Gemini 3.8 FlashwithAPI65.962.52None
8Gemini 3.5 Flash-LitewithGemini61.445.82None

What you get for the cost

Haiku 5.5 · API scores within 3 points of GPT-6 Astra · ChatGPT at about a thirtieth of the cost.

Task score against relative cost for each setup. The table below has the same figures.4050607080901001×3×10×30×100×Cost per output, relative to the cheapest setup (log scale) →↑ Task scoreGPT-6 Astra · ChatGPT: task score 99, 83× the cheapestGPT-6.1 Sol · API: task score 99, 16× the cheapestHaiku 5.5 · API: task score 96, 2.1× the cheapestSonnet 5.5 · API: task score 92, 44× the cheapestGPT-6 Luna · API: task score 82, the cheapestOpus 5.5 · Claude: task score 82, 78× the cheapestGemini 3.8 Flash · API: task score 61, 13× the cheapestGemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · Gemini: task score 51, 2.1× the cheapestGPT-6 Astra · ChatGPTGPT-6.1 Sol · APIHaiku 5.5 · APISonnet 5.5 · APIGPT-6 Luna · APIOpus 5.5 · ClaudeGemini 3.8 Flash · APIGemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · Gemini
Best valueNobody beats these on both score and cost
Task score and relative cost by setup
SetupTask scoreRelative cost (cheapest = 1)
GPT-6 Luna · API821.0×
Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · Gemini512.1×
Haiku 5.5 · API962.1×
Gemini 3.8 Flash · API6113×
GPT-6.1 Sol · API9916×
Sonnet 5.5 · API9244×
Opus 5.5 · Claude8278×
GPT-6 Astra · ChatGPT9983×

Cost is each output’s tokens at the model’s list price, shown relative to the cheapest setup. Runs done in an app have no usage meter, so theirs are estimated from the same setup’s measured runs. How we compare cost

About the task

The PM job

Setting a team's goals for the quarter.

Why it matters

Most OKRs are task lists in disguise. Teams ship everything on them and nothing moves.

What good looks like

  • Key results are outcomes, not things to ship
  • Few enough to focus on
  • Each team's goals visibly add up to the company's
  • Kept apart from performance ratings

Deliberately not measured

  • OKR software or formatting
Capability tested

Goal setting

The failure we’re looking for

A task list dressed up as key results

Grading

Decision model and LLM judge, calibrated against a blind PM review