Humanity’s Last PRD
Latest drop: Haiku 5.5 · 8 Oct
Tasks / Product Craft

Write a PRD

Can the model turn a brief into a spec engineers could build from, including how an AI feature behaves when it is wrong?

Task type v1.2 · 2 tasksLast changed 6 Oct 2026 · ChangelogDifficulty

What AI gets right here, and what you’ll still have to catch

From 16 graded outputs by 8 models. 25% were usable with at most a quick edit.

Reliably right

  1. Specifies AI failure behaviour100% pass
    It specifies what happens when uncertain or wrong: block ownership, show retry states, disable assignments on violation, and never fall back to calendar data.
    GPT-6 Astra · ChatGPT · Meeting summaries with action items
  2. Builds the regulator's rules in100% pass
    All three rules (2-business-day acknowledge, 15-business-day resolve or explain, no harder than paying) appear as testable requirements R8, R10, R13.
    Sonnet 5.5 · API · Disputes that aren't disputes
  3. Produces the required deliverable94% pass
    The PRD is complete, written for engineering and design leads, within the 1,000–1,500 word range, and directly actionable.
    GPT-6 Astra · ChatGPT · Meeting summaries with action items

Where it slips

  1. Proposes tests that could fail36% pass
    Launch gates have numeric thresholds and actions, but lack explicit measurement windows (e.g., pilot duration, number of meetings) needed to read out results.
    GPT-6.1 Sol · API · Meeting summaries with action items
  2. Avoids unsupported claims42% pass
    Presents the join log and identity tiers as established facts without labelling them as assumptions, when the context provides no support.
    Opus 5.5 · Claude · Meeting summaries with action items
  3. Uses the supplied evidence correctly44% pass
    The output invents a join log and identity tiers (Verified, Guest, Room) that are not in the supplied context, making unsupported claims about the current system.
    Opus 5.5 · Claude · Meeting summaries with action items

How it’s graded

Each check is built on how world-class product and growth leaders do this work, as they’ve described it on Lenny’s Podcast, and names the leader it comes from.

  1. Success settles trade-offs

    Does the PRD define success as a measurable outcome with a target and time frame, and say which goal wins when two of them conflict?

    Passes when Names a success metric with a target and time frame, and gives at least one explicit trade-off rule (for example, accepting lower coverage to keep precision above a stated level).

    Product and growth leadersOn Lenny’s Podcast

  2. Says who it's for, and who it isn't

    Does the PRD name the specific users it is for, say explicitly who it is not for, and make at least one scope decision that follows from that choice?

    Passes when Names the target users and at least one group it deliberately leaves out, and a scope decision visibly follows from the exclusion.

    Matt LeMayLenny’s Podcast

  3. Plans how people will find it

    Does the PRD say how the feature reaches people: how it rolls out, how users discover it, and who needs to be ready for it (support, sales), rather than stopping at what to build?

    Passes when Gives a staged rollout, a way users will discover the feature, and the teams that need to be ready, all fitted to this feature.

    Ami VoraLenny’s PodcastKarri SaarinenLenny’s Podcast

Plus our standard checks

Uses the supplied evidence correctly · Addresses the actual decision · Respects explicit constraints · Identifies material uncertainty · Avoids unsupported claims · Produces the required deliverable · Proposes tests that could fail · and 2 written for each task, which you’ll see in the tasks below.

The tasks

Read the brief, then compare up to three outputs, each with the LLM judge’s verdict on every check. Highlights mark what a PM had to fix.

The brief

You're the PM for card servicing at Clearbank. Write the PRD for self-serve disputes in the app, as Imogen asks below. It goes to the squad (engineering, design, support operations and compliance) who'll build it next quarter. 1,000 to 1,400 words. The dispute export and the background are attached.

What the model was given6 items: About Clearbank, imogen_note.md, how_disputes_work_today.md, regulator_rules.md, disputes_sample_last_quarter.csv (a random sample of 400 of last quarter's 2,400 disputes), merchant_data_option.md
About ClearbankA digital bank for individuals: current accounts and debit cards, run through a mobile app.
imogen_note.md1 lines · Download
From Imogen (Head of Product): "Write the PRD for self-serve disputes in the app. Support says it's their biggest cost after card freezes. The PRD goes to the squad (engineering, design, support ops and compliance) who will build it next quarter. 1,000 to 1,400 words."
how_disputes_work_today.md5 lines · Download
# How disputes work today

Customers raise a dispute by chatting to support. An agent collects details, then either explains the payment or opens a chargeback. Agents spend about 11 minutes per dispute. 2,400 disputes last quarter; 14% of them were resolved later than the regulator's deadline.

Card transactions show the merchant's billing name (for example "SQ *BRKLYN BAGEL 0412"), not its trading name or logo.
regulator_rules.md5 lines · Download
# Regulator's rules (summary from Legal)

- Acknowledge a dispute within 2 business days.
- Resolve genuine disputes within 15 business days, or tell the customer why it's taking longer.
- Don't make it harder to raise a dispute than to make a payment.
disputes_sample_last_quarter.csv (a random sample of 400 of last quarter's 2,400 disputes)dispute,customer_said,days_to_resolve,outcome CB-40000,I don't recognise this payment,8,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40006,I didn't receive what I paid for,17,Chargeback lost CB-40012,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40018,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40024,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40030,I didn't receive what I paid for,11,Chargeback lost CB-40036,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40042,I didn't receive what I paid for,16,Chargeback lost CB-40048,I was charged twice,5,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-40054,I don't recognise this payment,8,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40060,I was charged twice,10,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-40066,I was charged twice,7,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-40072,I don't recognise this payment,8,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40078,I don't recognise this payment,5,Fraud confirmed CB-40084,I don't recognise this payment,7,Fraud confirmed CB-40090,I don't recognise this payment,8,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40096,I was charged twice,6,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-40102,I didn't receive what I paid for,7,Chargeback won CB-40108,I don't recognise this payment,6,Fraud confirmed CB-40114,I was charged twice,9,Duplicate refunded CB-40120,I was charged twice,7,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-40126,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40132,I was charged twice,9,Duplicate refunded CB-40138,Subscription I cancelled,18,Chargeback won CB-40144,I didn't receive what I paid for,21,Chargeback won CB-40150,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40156,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40162,I don't recognise this payment,6,Fraud confirmed CB-40168,I was charged twice,4,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-40174,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40180,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,10,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-40186,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40192,I don't recognise this payment,3,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40198,I don't recognise this payment,1,Fraud confirmed CB-40204,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40210,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40216,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40222,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40228,I didn't receive what I paid for,29,Chargeback won CB-40234,I don't recognise this payment,8,Fraud confirmed CB-40240,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40246,I didn't receive what I paid for,10,Merchant refunded CB-40252,I don't recognise this payment,4,Fraud confirmed CB-40258,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40264,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40270,I didn't receive what I paid for,21,Chargeback won CB-40276,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40282,I didn't receive what I paid for,17,Merchant refunded CB-40288,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40294,I don't recognise this payment,1,Fraud confirmed CB-40300,I don't recognise this payment,7,Fraud confirmed CB-40306,I don't recognise this payment,8,Fraud confirmed CB-40312,I didn't receive what I paid for,20,Merchant refunded CB-40318,I didn't receive what I paid for,26,Chargeback lost CB-40324,Subscription I cancelled,10,Merchant refunded CB-40330,I don't recognise this payment,1,Fraud confirmed CB-40336,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,10,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-40342,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40348,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,9,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-40354,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40360,I was charged twice,9,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-40366,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40372,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40378,I don't recognise this payment,8,Fraud confirmed CB-40384,I didn't receive what I paid for,14,Merchant refunded CB-40390,I don't recognise this payment,7,Fraud confirmed CB-40396,I don't recognise this payment,8,Fraud confirmed CB-40402,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40408,I was charged twice,5,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-40414,I didn't receive what I paid for,13,Chargeback lost CB-40420,Subscription I cancelled,11,Chargeback won CB-40426,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,10,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-40432,I didn't receive what I paid for,13,Chargeback won CB-40438,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,4,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-40444,I was charged twice,9,Duplicate refunded CB-40450,I didn't receive what I paid for,18,Chargeback won CB-40456,I don't recognise this payment,1,Fraud confirmed CB-40462,I don't recognise this payment,4,Fraud confirmed CB-40468,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40474,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40480,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,8,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-40486,I didn't receive what I paid for,27,Chargeback lost CB-40492,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40498,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40504,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40510,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40516,I don't recognise this payment,5,Fraud confirmed CB-40522,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40528,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,8,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-40534,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40540,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40546,I don't recognise this payment,2,Fraud confirmed CB-40552,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40558,I was charged twice,5,Duplicate refunded CB-40564,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40570,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40576,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40582,I didn't receive what I paid for,14,Chargeback lost CB-40588,I didn't receive what I paid for,18,Chargeback lost CB-40594,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40600,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,2,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-40606,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40612,I don't recognise this payment,3,Fraud confirmed CB-40618,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,5,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-40624,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40630,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40636,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40642,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,11,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-40648,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40654,I don't recognise this payment,5,Fraud confirmed CB-40660,I don't recognise this payment,8,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40666,I don't recognise this payment,6,Fraud confirmed CB-40672,I was charged twice,5,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-40678,Subscription I cancelled,10,Chargeback won CB-40684,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,9,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-40690,Subscription I cancelled,7,Chargeback won CB-40696,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40702,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40708,I don't recognise this payment,8,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40714,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40720,I was charged twice,13,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-40726,Subscription I cancelled,13,Chargeback won CB-40732,I don't recognise this payment,3,Fraud confirmed CB-40738,I didn't receive what I paid for,18,Chargeback lost CB-40744,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,8,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-40750,I was charged twice,11,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-40756,Subscription I cancelled,10,Merchant refunded CB-40762,I was charged twice,7,Duplicate refunded CB-40768,Subscription I cancelled,18,Chargeback won CB-40774,I didn't receive what I paid for,23,Chargeback won CB-40780,I didn't receive what I paid for,7,Chargeback won CB-40786,Subscription I cancelled,5,Chargeback won CB-40792,I didn't receive what I paid for,10,Merchant refunded CB-40798,I was charged twice,9,Duplicate refunded CB-40804,I didn't receive what I paid for,24,Merchant refunded CB-40810,I don't recognise this payment,2,Fraud confirmed CB-40816,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,11,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-40822,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40828,Subscription I cancelled,13,Chargeback won CB-40834,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40840,I don't recognise this payment,7,Fraud confirmed CB-40846,Subscription I cancelled,7,Merchant refunded CB-40852,I don't recognise this payment,3,Fraud confirmed CB-40858,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40864,I was charged twice,4,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-40870,I don't recognise this payment,8,Fraud confirmed CB-40876,I was charged twice,6,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-40882,I don't recognise this payment,3,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40888,I don't recognise this payment,8,Fraud confirmed CB-40894,I don't recognise this payment,6,Fraud confirmed CB-40900,I don't recognise this payment,8,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40906,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40912,I don't recognise this payment,8,Fraud confirmed CB-40918,I didn't receive what I paid for,21,Chargeback won CB-40924,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,10,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-40930,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,8,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-40936,I don't recognise this payment,8,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40942,I was charged twice,6,Duplicate refunded CB-40948,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40954,I didn't receive what I paid for,14,Chargeback won CB-40960,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40966,I was charged twice,4,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-40972,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40978,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40984,I didn't receive what I paid for,9,Merchant refunded CB-40990,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-40996,I don't recognise this payment,8,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41002,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41008,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41014,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,2,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-41020,I didn't receive what I paid for,27,Chargeback won CB-41026,I didn't receive what I paid for,28,Chargeback won CB-41032,I was charged twice,7,Duplicate refunded CB-41038,I don't recognise this payment,2,Fraud confirmed CB-41044,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41050,I don't recognise this payment,4,Fraud confirmed CB-41056,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,11,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-41062,I was charged twice,3,Duplicate refunded CB-41068,I don't recognise this payment,1,Fraud confirmed CB-41074,I don't recognise this payment,1,Fraud confirmed CB-41080,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41086,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41092,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41098,I don't recognise this payment,8,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41104,I didn't receive what I paid for,29,Merchant refunded CB-41110,Subscription I cancelled,16,Chargeback won CB-41116,I didn't receive what I paid for,22,Chargeback won CB-41122,I didn't receive what I paid for,13,Chargeback lost CB-41128,I don't recognise this payment,8,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41134,I was charged twice,10,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-41140,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41146,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41152,I was charged twice,5,Duplicate refunded CB-41158,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41164,I didn't receive what I paid for,12,Chargeback lost CB-41170,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41176,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,2,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-41182,I don't recognise this payment,1,Fraud confirmed CB-41188,I don't recognise this payment,3,Fraud confirmed CB-41194,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41200,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41206,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,5,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-41212,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41218,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,6,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-41224,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41230,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41236,I don't recognise this payment,3,Fraud confirmed CB-41242,Subscription I cancelled,9,Merchant refunded CB-41248,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41254,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41260,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41266,I don't recognise this payment,8,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41272,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41278,I didn't receive what I paid for,11,Chargeback lost CB-41284,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41290,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41296,I don't recognise this payment,3,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41302,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41308,I was charged twice,11,Duplicate refunded CB-41314,I didn't receive what I paid for,27,Chargeback won CB-41320,I don't recognise this payment,8,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41326,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,5,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-41332,I was charged twice,12,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-41338,I don't recognise this payment,3,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41344,I didn't receive what I paid for,17,Merchant refunded CB-41350,I didn't receive what I paid for,21,Chargeback won CB-41356,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41362,Subscription I cancelled,14,Merchant refunded CB-41368,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41374,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41380,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41386,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41392,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41398,I don't recognise this payment,2,Fraud confirmed CB-41404,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41410,I don't recognise this payment,3,Fraud confirmed CB-41416,I don't recognise this payment,5,Fraud confirmed CB-41422,I was charged twice,12,Duplicate refunded CB-41428,Subscription I cancelled,9,Merchant refunded CB-41434,I was charged twice,6,Duplicate refunded CB-41440,Subscription I cancelled,15,Merchant refunded CB-41446,I don't recognise this payment,5,Fraud confirmed CB-41452,I don't recognise this payment,7,Fraud confirmed CB-41458,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41464,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41470,I was charged twice,6,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-41476,I don't recognise this payment,5,Fraud confirmed CB-41482,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41488,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41494,I didn't receive what I paid for,26,Merchant refunded CB-41500,I didn't receive what I paid for,24,Chargeback won CB-41506,Subscription I cancelled,20,Chargeback won CB-41512,I didn't receive what I paid for,29,Merchant refunded CB-41518,Subscription I cancelled,20,Chargeback won CB-41524,I don't recognise this payment,8,Fraud confirmed CB-41530,I was charged twice,3,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-41536,I didn't receive what I paid for,8,Chargeback won CB-41542,I don't recognise this payment,2,Fraud confirmed CB-41548,I don't recognise this payment,2,Fraud confirmed CB-41554,I was charged twice,12,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-41560,Subscription I cancelled,6,Chargeback won CB-41566,I was charged twice,3,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-41572,I don't recognise this payment,1,Fraud confirmed CB-41578,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,7,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-41584,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41590,I don't recognise this payment,3,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41596,Subscription I cancelled,16,Merchant refunded CB-41602,Subscription I cancelled,15,Merchant refunded CB-41608,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41614,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41620,I was charged twice,5,Duplicate refunded CB-41626,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41632,I don't recognise this payment,8,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41638,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,3,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-41644,I don't recognise this payment,3,Fraud confirmed CB-41650,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41656,I don't recognise this payment,6,Fraud confirmed CB-41662,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41668,I didn't receive what I paid for,12,Chargeback won CB-41674,I don't recognise this payment,8,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41680,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41686,I don't recognise this payment,3,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41692,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41698,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41704,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41710,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41716,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,8,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-41722,I don't recognise this payment,3,Fraud confirmed CB-41728,I was charged twice,12,Duplicate refunded CB-41734,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,5,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-41740,I don't recognise this payment,6,Fraud confirmed CB-41746,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41752,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41758,I was charged twice,13,Duplicate refunded CB-41764,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41770,I didn't receive what I paid for,23,Chargeback won CB-41776,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41782,I didn't receive what I paid for,27,Chargeback won CB-41788,I didn't receive what I paid for,23,Chargeback lost CB-41794,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41800,I don't recognise this payment,3,Fraud confirmed CB-41806,I don't recognise this payment,1,Fraud confirmed CB-41812,I was charged twice,4,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-41818,I don't recognise this payment,8,Fraud confirmed CB-41824,I didn't receive what I paid for,18,Chargeback won CB-41830,Subscription I cancelled,13,Chargeback won CB-41836,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41842,I don't recognise this payment,7,Fraud confirmed CB-41848,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41854,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41860,I was charged twice,5,Duplicate refunded CB-41866,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41872,I don't recognise this payment,8,Fraud confirmed CB-41878,I don't recognise this payment,2,Fraud confirmed CB-41884,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41890,I was charged twice,7,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-41896,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41902,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,9,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-41908,I don't recognise this payment,4,Fraud confirmed CB-41914,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41920,I didn't receive what I paid for,24,Merchant refunded CB-41926,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41932,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,10,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-41938,Subscription I cancelled,15,Chargeback won CB-41944,I didn't receive what I paid for,13,Chargeback won CB-41950,I don't recognise this payment,2,Fraud confirmed CB-41956,I didn't receive what I paid for,24,Chargeback lost CB-41962,I don't recognise this payment,4,Fraud confirmed CB-41968,I don't recognise this payment,8,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41974,Subscription I cancelled,15,Chargeback won CB-41980,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-41986,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,2,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-41992,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,6,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-41998,I don't recognise this payment,8,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42004,I didn't receive what I paid for,12,Merchant refunded CB-42010,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42016,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42022,I was charged twice,11,Duplicate refunded CB-42028,I didn't receive what I paid for,25,Merchant refunded CB-42034,I didn't receive what I paid for,10,Merchant refunded CB-42040,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42046,I was charged twice,8,Duplicate refunded CB-42052,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42058,I don't recognise this payment,7,Fraud confirmed CB-42064,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42070,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42076,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,10,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-42082,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42088,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42094,Subscription I cancelled,12,Chargeback won CB-42100,I don't recognise this payment,3,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42106,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42112,Subscription I cancelled,18,Chargeback won CB-42118,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,6,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-42124,I don't recognise this payment,5,Fraud confirmed CB-42130,I didn't receive what I paid for,14,Chargeback lost CB-42136,I don't recognise this payment,8,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42142,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,2,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-42148,I was charged twice,12,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-42154,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42160,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42166,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42172,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,9,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-42178,I don't recognise this payment,3,Fraud confirmed CB-42184,I don't recognise this payment,3,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42190,I was charged twice,7,Duplicate refunded CB-42196,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42202,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42208,I didn't receive what I paid for,21,Chargeback won CB-42214,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42220,I don't recognise this payment,3,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42226,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42232,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42238,I was charged twice,10,Duplicate refunded CB-42244,I don't recognise this payment,3,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42250,Subscription I cancelled,11,Chargeback won CB-42256,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,3,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-42262,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42268,I didn't receive what I paid for,16,Merchant refunded CB-42274,I was charged twice,3,Duplicate refunded CB-42280,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,9,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-42286,I was charged twice,11,Duplicate refunded CB-42292,I was charged twice,9,Not a duplicate: two separate purchases CB-42298,I don't recognise this payment,6,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42304,I don't recognise this payment,2,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42310,Subscription I cancelled,16,Merchant refunded CB-42316,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42322,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42328,Fraud: I didn't make this payment,3,"Fraud confirmed, refunded" CB-42334,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42340,I don't recognise this payment,1,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42346,I didn't receive what I paid for,19,Merchant refunded CB-42352,I was charged twice,12,Duplicate refunded CB-42358,I don't recognise this payment,3,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42364,I don't recognise this payment,7,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42370,I don't recognise this payment,3,Fraud confirmed CB-42376,I didn't receive what I paid for,17,Chargeback won CB-42382,I don't recognise this payment,4,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42388,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details CB-42394,I don't recognise this payment,5,Customer recognised it once shown the merchant's details
merchant_data_option.md3 lines · Download
# Merchant data we could use

Our card processor offers an enriched merchant feed (trading name, logo, location, website) for 94% of transactions, at $0.0008 per transaction. We process about 9 million card transactions a month.
What a strong answer doesThe answer key the graders mark against

Starts from the data: in the sample, 232 of 400 disputes (58%, so about 1,400 of the quarter's 2,400) were 'I don't recognise this payment', and 169 of those (about three in four) were resolved simply by showing the merchant's details; so the first thing to build is recognisable transactions (trading name, logo, location from the enriched feed, about $7,200 a month for 9 million transactions), shown before someone raises a dispute, with self-serve disputes for the genuine cases. Defines success with targets (disputes per 1,000 transactions, share resolved without an agent, regulator deadlines met against 14% late today) and says which wins when they conflict (never make disputing harder than paying, per the regulator). Covers the flows for genuine disputes (charged twice, not received, cancelled subscription, fraud) with acknowledgement within 2 business days and resolution within 15, what happens when the merchant data is missing (6% of transactions), and how the rollout reaches people, with support ready. Says who it's not for (for example business accounts, or disputes over a set amount that still go to an agent) and what's out of scope.

Critical failures (cap the score at 40)
  • Adds steps that make raising a dispute harder than making a payment
Task

Staff-level · v1.0

The outputs

8 setups answered this brief.

Sonnet 5.5API83Usable with a quick editGPT-6 AstraChatGPT73Needs more workGPT-6 LunaAPI69Needs more workHaiku 5.5API69Needs more workOpus 5.5Claude60Needs more workGPT-6.1 SolAPI58Needs more workGemini 3.5 Flash-LiteGemini40Needs more workGemini 3.8 FlashAPI37Needs more work
Haiku 5.5API

Needs more than a quick edit8 of 12 checks passed

The PRD lacks user exclusion, discovery plan, and test thresholds, requiring rework on those sections before a squad could act.

Output

PRD: Self-serve disputes in the app

Owner: Card servicing PM Audience: Engineering, Design, Support Operations, Compliance Status: Draft for squad review Target: Next quarter

1. Problem

Customers raise disputes by chatting with support. An agent collects the details, then either explains the payment or opens a chargeback. Each dispute takes about 11 agent minutes. Support tells us disputes are their biggest cost after card freezes. Last quarter we handled 2,400 disputes, and 14% were resolved after the regulator's deadline.

2. What the data says

I reviewed a random sample of 400 of last quarter's disputes. Percentages are accurate to about ±5 points at 95% confidence.

What the customer saidShare of sampleWhat happened
"I don't recognise this payment"58% (233)171 ended with the customer recognising the payment once shown the merchant's details. 62 were confirmed fraud. All closed within 8 days.
"I was charged twice"12% (48)24 were two separate purchases. 24 were true duplicates, refunded.
"Fraud: I didn't make this payment"9% (35)All confirmed fraud and refunded, in 2 to 11 days.
"I didn't receive what I paid for"14% (56)Merchant-dependent: 24 chargebacks won, 17 merchant refunds, 15 chargebacks lost.
"Subscription I cancelled"7% (28)Merchant-dependent: mostly won or refunded.

The main finding: the largest group is a recognition problem, not a dispute problem. Card transactions show the merchant's billing name (for example, "SQ \*BRKLYN BAGEL 0412"). Customers don't recognise it, contact us, and an agent spends time showing them the merchant details the app should have shown in the first place. Roughly half of "charged twice" cases are the same confusion: two separate purchases.

The late cases are a different problem. In the sample, 43 of 400 disputes took more than 15 days as recorded in the export. 36 of those were "didn't receive" disputes, which depend on merchant responses. Self-serve intake won't fix these by itself. They need proactive status updates so customers aren't left waiting. (Legal to confirm whether the export counts business or calendar days.)

Fraud is a minority but time-critical. About 24% of the sample was confirmed fraud. These customers need to freeze the card first, and the dispute should follow from that.

3. Goals

  1. Customers can raise, track, and close any card dispute in the app without starting a chat.
  2. Recognition and duplicate cases close without an agent wherever possible.
  3. Fewer disputes miss the regulator's deadline. Proposed target: under 5%, down from 14%.
  4. Disputing is never harder than paying. This is a regulatory requirement, not just a design goal.

Non-goals for this release: - Changing chargeback decision rules or card scheme processes. - Self-serve approval of chargebacks. Agents still decide outcomes for "didn't receive" and subscription disputes, which need merchant contact. Customers can still submit the case in-app. - Redesigning card freezes. That is a separate PRD, although fraud disputes link into it.

4. Requirements

R1: Show the real merchant on every card transaction. Use the processor's enriched feed (trading name, logo, location, website). It covers 94% of transactions at $0.0008 each, about $7,200 a month at our 9 million transactions. For the remaining 6%, show the billing name with a plain-English note that the merchant name couldn't be confirmed.

R2: "Do you recognise this?" as the first step. Before the dispute form, show the enriched merchant details and ask whether the customer recognises the payment. If yes, close the dispute with a confirmation and no agent involvement. If no, one tap continues to the dispute. There must be no dead end, and the wording must be approved by Compliance, because a recognition screen could discourage valid disputes.

R3: Structured intake for each dispute type. Customers choose from the five categories. Each category asks only the questions it needs. For "charged twice," show the matching transactions side by side and ask whether they're for the same thing.

R4: Automatic duplicate handling (conditional). If two charges for the same amount at the same merchant appear within a short window, offer an automatic refund request. This is conditional on Support Ops and Compliance agreeing the rules and thresholds.

R5: Fraud goes to freeze first. "I didn't make this payment" offers an immediate card freeze and replacement, then starts the dispute with the transaction already filled in. Customers must never have to chat before they can freeze their card.

R6: Automatic acknowledgement. Confirm receipt in-app and by push the moment a dispute is submitted. This comfortably meets the 2-business-day rule.

R7: Status and deadlines. Show a timeline for each dispute. Proactively notify the customer at 10 business days (proposed) if it's still open. If it passes 15 business days, show the reason and the expected date. This is what the regulator's "or tell the customer why" requirement looks like in practice.

R8: Evidence upload. Let customers attach receipts, screenshots, or messages to "didn't receive" and subscription disputes.

R9: Chat is always available. "Talk to someone" stays visible at every step. Any hand-off carries the structured answers, so the agent never asks the customer to repeat themselves.

5. Regulatory constraints

  • Acknowledge within 2 business days; resolve within 15 business days or explain the delay. R6 and R7 cover both.
  • Disputing must not be harder than paying. Compliance should define a benchmark, such as the number of taps and screens for a typical card payment, and we test the dispute flow against it. R2 must always offer a one-tap route forward.
  • The recognition screen must not discourage valid disputes. Compliance signs off on the copy and the layout before launch.

6. Success metrics

MetricBaselineProposed target
Disputes closed without an agent0%40% of disputes within one quarter of launch
Agent minutes per agent-handled dispute~11Under 5
Disputes resolved after deadline14%Under 5%
Repeat disputes on the same transaction within 30 daysTo measureNot increasing
Time from fraud report to card freezeTo measureUnder 1 minute
Dispute-related complaintsTo measureNot increasing

Guardrails: payment completion rate and card-freeze volume must not drop. Engineering should instrument the baselines marked "to measure" before the build starts.

7. Rollout

  • Phase 1: Merchant details (R1) and the recognition screen (R2), behind a feature flag. Run an A/B test with a holdout group. The 171 recognition closures in the sample were only observed after an agent showed the merchant details. The test checks whether the app-only version produces the same result.
  • Phase 2: Structured intake for all categories (R3, R5, R8), automatic acknowledgement and tracking (R6, R7), and the agent hand-off (R9).
  • Phase 3: Automatic duplicate handling (R4), if approved.

8. Open questions and risks

  1. Does the 43% recognition rate hold? The sample shows what happened after agents explained the payments. It doesn't show what customers do when they see the merchant details themselves. Phase 1 tests this.
  2. Will self-serve increase dispute volume? Some customers who used to ask a question may now file a dispute. That is acceptable, but we need to watch cost per dispute, not just the count.
  3. Feed quality. Support should check a sample of enriched merchant names for accuracy before launch. An incorrect trading name is worse than the billing name.
  4. Logo use. Legal should confirm we can display merchant logos.
  5. Card scheme deadlines. Our pack doesn't include scheme chargeback timeframes. Legal and Ops need to confirm them, as they may limit how long R7 can promise.
  6. Days field. Confirm whether `daystoresolve` counts business or calendar days. It changes how we read the late-case figures.

Grades and run details

Decision model 75 · LLM judge 69
Decision model checks
  • failUses the supplied evidence correctly18%
  • passAddresses the actual decision70%
  • partialRespects explicit constraints49%
  • passIdentifies material uncertainty97%
  • partialAvoids unsupported claims31%
  • passProduces the required deliverable35%
  • passFinds that most disputes are recognition100%
  • passBuilds the regulator's rules in98%
  • passSuccess settles trade-offs97%
  • partialProposes tests that could fail74%
  • partialSays who it's for, and who it isn't62%
  • passPlans how people will find it31%
Run
Run
#1
API response time
78 s
Submitted
8 Oct 2026
Sonnet 5.5API

Usable with a quick edit10 of 12 checks passed

The PRD is comprehensive and actionable. Adding an explicit user exclusion and a numeric guardrail threshold are minor edits a PM can make quickly.

Output

PRD: Self-serve disputes in the app

Owner: PM, Card Servicing · Audience: Engineering, Design, Support Ops, Compliance · Build: next quarter

1. Summary

Disputes are currently raised only through chat. Agents spend about 11 minutes on each of the 2,400 disputes a quarter (roughly 440 hours), and 14% were resolved after the regulator's deadline.

The sample shows that most disputes aren't really disputes. Customers can't recognise the merchant name on the statement. The late cases are a different problem. So this PRD covers two things: stop avoidable disputes at the source, and give genuine disputes a structured, timed path.

2. What the data says

I analysed the 400-dispute random sample (of 2,400). With n=400, shares are accurate to roughly ±5 points.

Customer saidShareOutcomes
I don't recognise this payment58% (232)169 recognised it once shown merchant details; 63 confirmed fraud
Fraud: I didn't make this9% (36)All confirmed and refunded
I didn't receive what I paid for14% (56)24 chargebacks won, 15 lost, 17 merchant refunded
I was charged twice12% (48)24 genuine duplicates, 24 two separate purchases
Subscription I cancelled7% (28)18 chargebacks won, 10 merchant refunded

Four findings shape the design:

  1. 42% of all disputes (169 of 400) end when the customer sees who the merchant is. Card transactions show billing names like "SQ *BRKLYN BAGEL 0412". This is the biggest lever, and it needs better information, not a dispute flow.
  2. About a quarter of disputes are fraud (63 + 36 = 99 of 400). A customer with a stolen card must not wait in a queue, so the flow has to offer a card freeze at once.
  3. Half of "charged twice" claims are two real purchases. Showing both transactions side by side resolves these.
  4. Every case over 15 days is a "not received" or "subscription" dispute (44 of 400, 11%; reported figure is 14%). None of the other types exceeded 13 days. Deflecting lookups will free agent time, but it will not fix lateness by itself. Late cases need structured evidence intake and deadline timers. Support Ops to confirm whether `daystoresolve` is business or calendar days.

3. Goals and metrics

Targets below are my proposals, to be agreed with Support Ops.

  • Reduce agent-handled disputes by 25% within 90 days of launch. That is about 600 a quarter, or ~110 agent-hours. The ceiling is roughly 40%: the 42% "recognised" share, less the ~6% of transactions with no enriched data.
  • Late resolutions from 14% to under 5%.
  • 100% of disputes acknowledged within 2 business days. In-app, this is instant.
  • Guardrail: every suspected-fraud case reaches the fraud queue the same day. Track "I recognise this" taps later reversed into a dispute on the same transaction. Fraud and Compliance to set the acceptable threshold.

Non-goals: changing chargeback decisioning, scheme rules, or provisional-credit policy. Merchant logos across the whole transaction feed are also out of scope.

4. Requirements

Entry and merchant details

  • R1. Card transaction detail shows trading name, logo, location and website where available. It always shows date, time, amount and the raw billing name.
  • R2. Where no enriched data exists (~6%), show the raw billing name with obvious prefixes and store codes stripped, plus the raw string.
  • R3. Every card transaction has a visible "Something wrong?" button, one tap to start. Reasons: I don't recognise this, Charged twice, Didn't receive it, Cancelled subscription, I didn't make this payment.

Paths by reason

  • R4. Don't recognise. Show the merchant details with two equal-weight buttons: "I remember it" and "I still don't recognise this". The second continues the dispute. It is never hidden or delayed. It then offers a one-tap card freeze (optional) and creates a case flagged suspected fraud, routed to the fraud queue.
  • R5. "I didn't make this payment". Skip the merchant step and go straight to the freeze offer and the fraud queue.
  • R6. Charged twice. Show the two transactions side by side. If same merchant, same amount, within a window Support Ops defines, treat as a likely duplicate and create the case. Otherwise say "these look like separate purchases", with a prominent "Dispute anyway" button.
  • R7. Not received / subscription. Collect structured evidence: order date, what was bought, whether the merchant was contacted, and for subscriptions the cancellation date and proof upload. Ask whether the merchant was contacted but don't require it, unless Ops confirms a scheme rule does. Cases go to the chargeback queue as a complete evidence packet.

Case lifecycle

  • R8. On submission, show a reference number and send a push and email acknowledgement. Store the timestamp.
  • R9. An in-app status tracker shows received, under review, and resolved with outcome.
  • R10. Each case carries a business-day clock. At day 10, flag it to Ops. At day 15, if unresolved, automatically message the customer with the reason for the delay.
  • R11. "Talk to an agent" is available at every step. The case context transfers so the agent doesn't re-ask.
  • R12. Agents see the structured case in their console. Support Ops owns queue rules and the duplicate-detection window.

Compliance

  • R13. Raising a dispute must be no harder than making a payment. Compliance and Design agree the measurable benchmark (steps and taps) in week 1, and the final flow is tested against it.
  • R14. Compliance reviews all interstitial copy. "I remember it" is never pre-selected, and no step blocks continuing a dispute.
  • R15. Log every timestamp (raised, acknowledged, notices sent, resolved) and every "I remember it" tap, in an audit-ready form.

5. Merchant data decision (needed from Imogen by end of week 2)

The processor's enriched feed covers 94% of transactions at $0.0008 each. At about 9M transactions a month, a bulk feed costs $7,200 a month (~$86,000 a year).

The benefit, if every "recognised" dispute were deflected, is ~1,000 disputes a quarter × 11 minutes, or about 185 agent-hours a quarter (~62 a month). The bulk feed only pays back on support savings if an agent hour costs more than about $116, so I don't recommend it on those grounds alone.

Recommendation: ask the processor for per-lookup pricing and fetch merchant data when a customer opens a transaction detail. Even if every transaction were viewed, that can't exceed $7,200 a month, and real cost will be a fraction of it. If the processor only sells the bulk feed, we ship R2 (cleaned descriptors) and measure how much deflection that alone achieves before committing to the feed.

6. Risks and open questions

  • Deflection is an upper bound. The "recognised" outcomes came after agents shared merchant details, so enriched data in-app should replicate that, but we'll confirm it in an A/B test at launch.
  • Compliance: is the 14% late figure measured against notified extensions, or only against the 15-day deadline? If customers were told about delays, some of those cases may have been compliant.
  • Lost chargebacks: 15 of 56 "not received" cases were lost. Support Ops to review a sample for evidence gaps so R7 collects the right fields.
  • Fraud team capacity: about a quarter of disputes will arrive as structured fraud cases. Fraud Ops to confirm queue readiness.
  • Eligibility: Compliance to confirm any time limit on raising a dispute, which the flow should show.

7. Rollout

  1. Weeks 1–2: decide the data source, agree the R13 benchmark, and prototype R4–R6.
  2. Build: transaction detail (R1–R3) and the fraud and lookup paths first, then the evidence intake and timers (R7–R10).
  3. Launch: 10% of customers, with A/B on R4. Expand once the fraud-reversal guardrail holds.

Grades and run details

Decision model 79 · LLM judge 85
Decision model checks
  • passUses the supplied evidence correctly31%
  • passAddresses the actual decision48%
  • partialRespects explicit constraints49%
  • passIdentifies material uncertainty99%
  • partialAvoids unsupported claims26%
  • partialProduces the required deliverable38%
  • passFinds that most disputes are recognition100%
  • passBuilds the regulator's rules in98%
  • passSuccess settles trade-offs98%
  • partialProposes tests that could fail74%
  • partialSays who it's for, and who it isn't75%
  • passPlans how people will find it78%
Run
Run
#1
API response time
1.8 min
Submitted
6 Oct 2026

Check by check

Where the outputs differ comes first. Open a check to read the judge’s reasons. “Mixed” means the two graders disagreed.

Where they differ 2

Uses the supplied evidence correctlyMixedRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

All facts about the current situation are from the brief or derived from the sample; no invented facts.

Sonnet 5.5 · API

All factual claims about current situation come directly from the supplied context or are correct arithmetic on the sample data.

Plans how people will find itMixedRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

Rollout is staged but does not describe how users will discover the feature, and support readiness is only partially addressed.

Sonnet 5.5 · API

Describes a staged rollout, discovery via the transaction detail button, and identifies support, fraud, and compliance teams that must be ready.

All got wrong 2

Proposes tests that could failWrongWrong
Haiku 5.5 · API

The A/B test in Phase 1 lacks a numeric threshold, measurement window, and action for each outcome; guardrails lack thresholds.

Sonnet 5.5 · API

The A/B expansion gate relies on a fraud-reversal guardrail but does not specify a numeric threshold, leaving the test incomplete.

Says who it's for, and who it isn'tWrongWrong
Haiku 5.5 · API

Does not name the target users (e.g., individual current account holders) or explicitly exclude any user group, and no scope decision follows from a user exclusion.

Sonnet 5.5 · API

Does not name the target users (individual account holders) or explicitly exclude a group (e.g., business accounts), missing a required scope decision.

All got right 8

Addresses the actual decisionRightRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

Commits to building self-serve disputes with merchant recognition first, and says Phase 1 test will validate the approach.

Sonnet 5.5 · API

The PRD commits to self-serve disputes with a clear design and a data-driven recommendation on merchant data, stating what would change the call.

Respects explicit constraintsRightRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

The PRD is within word count, addresses the squad, and incorporates all regulatory constraints with enforcement mechanisms.

Sonnet 5.5 · API

Word count fits the range, reader is the squad, and every explicit constraint (including the regulator's rules) is turned into a testable requirement.

Identifies material uncertaintyRightRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

Names specific unknowns (recognition rate in-app, volume increase, feed quality, logo use, scheme deadlines, day counting) and how to resolve them.

Sonnet 5.5 · API

The output lists specific unknowns (days interpretation, late-case compliance, evidence gaps, fraud capacity) and says how to resolve them.

Avoids unsupported claimsRightRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

Interpretations are labelled as findings, and no unsupported causal claims are presented as fact.

Sonnet 5.5 · API

Findings and hypotheses are clearly labelled as derived from data; no unsupported causes or motivations are presented as established fact.

Produces the required deliverableRightRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

Complete PRD with problem, data, goals, requirements, metrics, rollout, and open questions, usable by the squad.

Sonnet 5.5 · API

The PRD is complete, well-structured, and provides everything the squad needs to start building next quarter.

Finds that most disputes are recognitionRightRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

Computes 58% recognition share and 171 resolved by showing merchant details, and makes enriched merchant display the first requirement.

Sonnet 5.5 · API

Correctly computes the 58% recognition share and makes enriched merchant details the primary solution, placed before the dispute flow.

Builds the regulator's rules inRightRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

All three rules (acknowledge 2 days, resolve 15 days or explain, disputing no harder than paying) appear as testable requirements R6, R7, and regulatory constraints section.

Sonnet 5.5 · API

All three rules (2-business-day acknowledge, 15-business-day resolve or explain, no harder than paying) appear as testable requirements R8, R10, R13.

Success settles trade-offsRightRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

Defines success metrics with targets and timeframe, and states that the regulatory requirement 'disputing never harder than paying' overrides other goals.

Sonnet 5.5 · API

Metrics include targets and timeframe, and the fraud-routing guardrail ('every suspected-fraud case reaches the fraud queue the same day') provides an explicit trade-off.

Results

Every setup we’ve tested on this task type, across all its tasks and repeats, graded on the current checklist. Calibrated. Where our PM checked the graders by hand, they agreed on 70% of 81 checks.

#Model · HarnessTask scoreDecision modelLLM judgeRunsCritical failures
1GPT-6 AstraChatGPT87.184.62None
2Sonnet 5.5API75.979.82None
3GPT-6.1 SolAPI82.660.92None
4Haiku 5.5API76.163.82None
5Opus 5.5Claude75.960.62None
6GPT-6 LunaAPI75.859.92None
7Gemini 3.8 FlashAPI49.828.22None
8Gemini 3.5 Flash-LiteGemini49.832.12None

What you get for the cost

No setup scores within 5 points of the leader at half its cost or less here, so the leader is also the best value.

Task score against relative cost for each setup. The table below has the same figures.304050607080901001×3×10×30×100×Cost per output, relative to the cheapest setup (log scale) →↑ Task scoreGPT-6 Astra · ChatGPT: task score 84, 106× the cheapest (1 of 2 outputs estimated)Sonnet 5.5 · API: task score 77, 35× the cheapestGPT-6.1 Sol · API: task score 71, 14× the cheapestHaiku 5.5 · API: task score 67, the cheapestOpus 5.5 · Claude: task score 65, 85× the cheapest (1 of 2 outputs estimated)GPT-6 Luna · API: task score 65, the cheapestGemini 3.8 Flash · API: task score 39, 9.9× the cheapestGemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · Gemini: task score 39, 4.4× the cheapest (1 of 2 outputs estimated)GPT-6 Astra · ChatGPTSonnet 5.5 · APIGPT-6.1 Sol · APIHaiku 5.5 · APIOpus 5.5 · ClaudeGPT-6 Luna · APIGemini 3.8 Flash · APIGemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · Gemini
Nobody beats these on both score and costCost partly estimated (app runs with no usage meter)

Cost is each output’s tokens at the model’s list price, shown relative to the cheapest setup. Runs done in an app have no usage meter, so theirs are estimated from the same setup’s measured runs. How we compare cost

The PM job

Writing the requirements document a team will build and test against.

Why it matters

A PRD is where ambiguity becomes either a decision or a bug. For AI products it must also say what happens when the model is uncertain or wrong. Most generated PRDs skip that part.

What good looks like

  • States the user problem and the decision the PRD enables
  • Specifies behaviour under uncertainty, failure and refusal
  • Names eval criteria and a launch bar
  • Defines success precisely enough to settle trade-offs
  • Says what is out of scope

Deliberately not measured

  • Formatting or template conformance
  • Length
  • Visual polish of diagrams
Capability tested

Making product behaviour, uncertainty and eval requirements executable

The failure we’re looking for

A generic feature spec that ignores AI failure behaviour

Grading

Decision model and LLM judge, calibrated against a blind PM review

Variants

AI product PRD (core) · Conventional product PRD