Needs more than a quick edit11 of 13 checks passed
Must-ask questions aren't marked and there's no guidance on what to drop if a 45-minute call runs over. A PM would need to add priority markers and cut instructions before running the calls.
Output
TO: Crate Executive Team FROM: Staff PM DATE: October 24, 2023 SUBJECT: Research Guide: H1 Bet Allocation & Churn Investigation
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1. Learning Goals
Our existing data is noisy. The exit survey suffers from primacy bias (“Missing features/integrations” is the first option and bundles robotics with basic APIs/ERPs). Meanwhile, our CRM shows a strong correlation between >90-day implementations and churn, and robotics appears more often in lost new-logo deals (9) than confirmed churn (3).
Over the next three weeks, these calls must uncover: 1. The "Point of No Return": When in the lifecycle did the customer mentally commit to leaving, and what specific operational event triggered it? 2. Implementation Reality: What caused the gap between the 45-day promise and the 94-day reality? Is slow implementation a root cause of churn, or a symptom of a deeper product mismatch? 3. The "Missing Integration" Truth: For those who cited integrations, what specific systems failed to connect? How many actually bought or deployed warehouse robotics? 4. Post-Churn Ground Truth: What did churned customers switch to, how long did the replacement take to go live, and are they using robotics today?
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2. Recommended Changes to the Call Plan
To get unbiased data within 12 calls, we must adjust the proposed plan:
- Split the persona tracks across 8–10 accounts (Don't double up on 12): If we interview both the VP and the Ops Manager separately on each account, 12 calls only covers 6 accounts (3 churned, 3 at-risk)—too small a sample. Instead, target 8 churned accounts and 4 at-risk accounts, interviewing the VP on 6 and the Ops Manager on 6 (overlapping on 2–3 accounts to cross-verify stories).
- Drop the 5 at-risk accounts in active renewal negotiations: Interviewing customers while CS is actively negotiating discounts with them is high-risk. Economic buyers will use the call as leverage to complain about price or demand roadmap commitments, skewing the data. Replace them with 1st-year customers who took >90 days to go live (regardless of health score) or churned customers from months 9–12.
- Ana should not lead calls with personal contacts: Ana, your relationships are invaluable for securing these interviews, so we’d love your warm intros. However, former customers who like you personally will try to spare your feelings (blaming an external trend like "we needed robotics" rather than saying "your onboarding team failed us"). A neutral PM should lead all calls; execs can join as silent observers or listen to the recordings.
- Sample across implementation times: Ensure the 8 churned accounts include both <60-day and >90-day implementations so we don't pre-validate Bet B.
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3. Interview Guides (45 Minutes)
#### Track A: Economic Buyer (VP of Ops / COO) — 6 Calls Focus: ROI expectations, contract promises, strategic tech stack, and the switching decision.
- 0–3m | Intro & Legal: Thank them for their time. Emphasize that this is a product research call, not a sales/renewal call. Ask permission to record.
- 3–10m | The Buying Thesis:
- "Take me back to when you signed with Crate. What was broken in your warehouse that you needed us to fix?"
- "What were your expectations for how quickly Crate would be up and running?"
- 10–22m | The Implementation Experience:
- "Our contract promises a 45-day go-live. Walk me through what actually happened during your rollout."
- If delayed: "What was the single biggest bottleneck? How did that delay impact your business and your team’s trust in Crate?"
- 22–35m | The Turning Point & Tech Stack:
- For Churned: "When did you first realize Crate wasn't going to work out long-term? What happened that week?"
- For At-Risk: "As you look at your operations today, where is Crate falling short of what you signed up for?"
- "What other software or hardware did you need Crate to talk to?" (Do not mention robotics first; see if they bring it up).
- 35–42m | The Aftermath & Automation (Probing Bet A):
- For Churned: "What system did you move to, and how was their implementation by comparison?"
- "Where does warehouse automation or robotics—like autonomous carts or pick-assist—fit into your current operations or 12-month plan?" (If they have them: "Did Crate's lack of integration factor into your decision to leave?")
- 42–45m | Wrap-up: "If you were in our shoes and could fix only one thing for mid-size 3PLs over the next six months, what would it be?"
#### Track B: Daily User (Warehouse Operations Manager) — 6 Calls Focus: Day-to-day friction, rollout reality on the floor, and manual workarounds.
- 0–3m | Intro & Legal: Set a candid, blame-free tone. Ask permission to record.
- 3–12m | Go-Live on the Floor:
- "Were you involved in setting up Crate? Walk me through what it took to get your first warehouse workflow live."
- "At what point did you feel your floor staff actually trusted the system?"
- 12–27m | Daily Friction & Workarounds:
- "Walk me through a typical peak day using Crate. Where did the software slow your team down?"
- "What tasks were you forced to do outside of Crate—in spreadsheets or on paper—because the software couldn't handle it?"
- 27–38m | Equipment & Integrations:
- "What other tools, scanners, ERPs, or floor equipment did you use alongside Crate?"
- "Did you have to manually move data between Crate and other systems? Which ones?"
- "Are you using any autonomous carts or robotics on the floor today, or testing them?"
- 38–45m | The Verdict:
- For Churned: "When leadership decided to replace Crate, was your team relieved or frustrated? Why?"
- For At-Risk: "If you could wave a magic wand and fix one bottleneck in how Crate runs your floor tomorrow, what would it be?"
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4. Guidance for Interviewers
1. Legal & CS Guardrails (Strict): * Always get explicit verbal consent to record at the start. * Never discuss pricing, discounts, or commercial terms. If an at-risk customer brings up their renewal, say: "I’m completely firewalled from commercial discussions so I can focus purely on product feedback. I’ll make sure your CS manager follows up on the renewal side." * Never mention our roadmap or hint that we are debating Robotics vs. Implementation. 2. Don't Lead the Witness: Do not use the words "robotics" or "94-day implementation" until the final 10 minutes of the call. Let them name the pain first. If they say "integrations," ask "Which specific tools?" before assuming they mean hardware. 3. Hunt for Past Behavior, Not Future Wishes: Discount hypothetical statements like "We’d love to look at robotics next year." Focus on concrete actions: "Did you sign a vendor contract for robots?" or "How many hours a week did your team spend fixing data imports during onboarding?" 4. Two People Per Call: One interviewer drives; one silent note-taker logs verbatim quotes and timestamps in our research repository immediately after the call.
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5. Decision Framework: How We Will Score the Evidence
After the 12 calls, we will map the findings against this rubric to allocate the two squads:
#### What we need to hear to back Bet A (Robotics Integrations): * Active Deployment: At least 4 of the 12 accounts either actively use warehouse robotics today, are in a paid pilot, or migrated to a competitor specifically and demonstrably to connect to robotics hardware. * Retention Blocker: At-risk customers state that robotics integration is a hard requirement for their upcoming 12-month operations, not just a "nice to have" for 3 years from now. * Implementation Was Survivable: Customers who took >90 days to go live tell us that while onboarding was painful, they eventually stabilized and only left because they outgrew our automation capabilities.
#### What we need to hear to back Bet B (Rebuild Implementation): * Early "Point of No Return": Churned customers report that executive trust was broken during a drawn-out onboarding (months 2–4), and they began shopping for replacements before month 6—meaning they never reached full adoption. * Software-Fixable Bottlenecks: The reasons for the 94-day median go-live are things engineering squads can actually solve (e.g., broken data migration tools, rigid warehouse configuration, self-serve setup gaps) rather than pure services/staffing issues. * Misattributed Survey Data: When we unpack "Missing features/integrations" from the exit survey, we find customers were actually frustrated that initial setup of standard integrations took months during onboarding.
#### What we need to hear to back NEITHER (Pivot the Roadmap): * Software vs. Services on Bet B: Implementation takes 94 days because customers have messy data or our Implementation Managers are understaffed—problems solved by hiring or process changes, not two engineering squads. * A Hidden Third Driver: "Missing features/integrations" turns out to be a core software gap unrelated to robotics (e.g., 3PL billing, client portals, or basic ERP/WMS syncs like NetSuite or Shopify), while robotics is exposed as a shiny object mainly affecting a small subset of new-logo sales.
Claims the judge couldn’t find in the brief
- The exit survey option 'Missing features/integrations' bundles robotics with basic APIs/ERPs
Grades and run details
Decision model 85 · LLM judge 79
Decision model checks
- partialUses the supplied evidence correctly11%
- passAddresses the actual decision70%
- passRespects explicit constraints9%
- passIdentifies material uncertainty98%
- partialAvoids unsupported claims40%
- passProduces the required deliverable83%
- passTests both theories fairly92%
- passDifferent questions for user and signer100%
- passProtects the calls and the accounts98%
- passDesigned to falsify70%
- passAsks what people did, not what they think92%
- partialDoesn't lead the witness25%
- partialMarks what to cut if the call runs over53%
Run
- Run
- #1
- API response time
- 27 s
- Submitted
- 13 Oct 2026