Usable with a quick edit9 of 10 checks passed
The reasoning and evidence are sound; only a minor addition of already-taken actions or a trade-off is needed.
Output
Lena — we don’t yet have enough evidence to attribute the 6% drop to navigation. My read is that it may be contributing, but it’s unlikely to be the whole story:
- Mobile-only teams fell 5.2% despite no navigation change, versus 6.3% for web-only teams.
- Navigation-beta teams fell just 1.1%. That’s reassuring, but they may not be representative.
- The same week last year fell 4%, suggesting a seasonal component—not proving one.
- Thursday’s two-hour SSO outage is another plausible contributor; about 30% of teams use SSO.
There is clear navigation friction: tickets rose from 40 to 212, mostly “where did X go?” That warrants action even if it doesn’t explain the activity decline.
I’ll break down daily activity by platform, SSO usage, and beta exposure, and check whether key navigation-dependent workflows deteriorated after Tuesday’s rollout. We’ll also prioritize fixes for the most common findability complaints.
I’ll share an initial read tomorrow, including whether the evidence supports a rollback. I wouldn’t treat seasonality, the outage, and navigation as additive explanations without that analysis.
Check by check
Got wrong · 1
- Owns the problemIt proposes future analysis and fixes but does not state any actions the team has already taken or offer trade-offs.
Got right · 9
- Uses the supplied evidence correctlyAll factual numbers, dates, and quotes are drawn accurately from the supplied context, with interpretations clearly hedged.
- Addresses the actual decisionThe output commits early that navigation is unlikely to be the whole story and says tomorrow's analysis will show whether rollback is supported.
- Respects explicit constraintsThe reply is under 200 words, addressed to Lena, and fits a leadership-channel update.
- Identifies material uncertaintyIt names the non-representative beta cohort, unproven seasonality, and SSO outage as unknowns and outlines the analysis that will resolve them.
- Avoids unsupported claimsCauses are labelled as possible ('may be contributing', 'plausible', 'suggesting') rather than asserted as fact.
- Produces the required deliverableIt is a complete channel reply with an answer, evidence, and next steps, within the requested length.
- Answers the question askedThe first line directly addresses whether the new navigation caused the drop.
- Separates effect from explanationEach candidate explanation is framed as a hypothesis with supporting or contradicting evidence (mobile unchanged, beta low, seasonality, SSO).
- Ready for the reader as deliveredIt is written entirely for Lena with no placeholders or unexplained internal labels.
Grades and run details
Decision model 90 · LLM judge 10 of 11 checks
Decision model checks
- passUses the supplied evidence correctly74%
- passAddresses the actual decision31%
- passRespects explicit constraints61%
- partialIdentifies material uncertainty70%
- passAvoids unsupported claims79%
- passProduces the required deliverable97%
- passAnswers the question asked77%
- passSeparates effect from explanation98%
- partialOwns the problem83%
- passReady for the reader as delivered97%
Run
- Run
- #1
- API response time
- 8 s
- Submitted
- 29 Sept 2026