Tasks / Leadership

Write a stakeholder update

Can the model turn messy project status into an honest update that leads with what the reader needs to know or decide?

Task type v1.2 · 2 tasksLast changed 6 Oct 2026 · ChangelogDifficulty

What AI gets right here, and what you’ll still have to catch

From 16 graded outputs by 8 models. 56% were usable with at most a quick edit.

Reliably right

  1. Reports outcomes and learning, not just output100% pass
    Leads with outcome metrics (ARR, active teams, SLA, pipeline) and what the team learned (pipeline redefinition, invoice ticket surge), not just activities.
    Sonnet 5.5 · API · On track, mostly
  2. Leads with the honest headline100% pass
    First slide headline includes the retention drop alongside the new-ARR beat, not just 'record quarter'.
    GPT-6 Astra · ChatGPT · A quarterly business review deck, in brand
  3. A real 7-slide deck100% pass

Where it slips

  1. Owns the problem55% pass
    Does not state what the team has already done about the payments reliability miss or the NPS drop; only reports the problems.
    GPT-6 Astra · ChatGPT · A quarterly business review deck, in brand
  2. Identifies material uncertainty61% pass
    The output identifies the overlap uncertainty for decision A but does not name any material unknown that could change the call for decision B, such as the reliability of the Payments lead's estimate or the impact of pausing activation experiments.
    Opus 5.5 · Claude · A quarterly business review deck, in brand
  3. Flags the redefined pipeline63% pass
    It names the redefinition but does not give the falling like-for-like trend (e.g., pipeline fell from $2.41M to $2.23M on the old definition).
    GPT-6.1 Sol · API · On track, mostly

How it’s graded

Each check is built on how world-class product and growth leaders do this work, as they’ve described it on Lenny’s Podcast, and names the leader it comes from.

  1. Asks leaders only for the big calls

    Does the update separate the decisions it needs from its readers (hard to reverse, high stakes) from the ones the team will make itself, and ask clearly for the former?

    Passes when Names the decisions it needs from the readers, with a recommendation and a date, and says which calls the team is making itself.

  2. Reports outcomes and learning, not just output

    Does the update report progress as movement on the outcomes the team is accountable for and what it has learned, rather than as features shipped or dates hit?

    Passes when Leads with the outcome metrics and what changed in the team's understanding, with shipping as supporting detail.

Plus our standard checks

Uses the supplied evidence correctly · Addresses the actual decision · Respects explicit constraints · Identifies material uncertainty · Avoids unsupported claims · Produces the required deliverable · Owns the problem · Ready for the reader as delivered · and 5 written for each task, which you’ll see in the tasks below.

The tasks

Read the brief, then compare up to three outputs, each with the LLM judge’s verdict on every check. Highlights mark what a PM had to fix.

The brief

You're the Staff PM for Ledgerly's Billing group. The quarterly business review with Lena (CEO) and the exec team is on 8 October; the deck goes out the day before as a pre-read. Using the material below, build the Q3 deck for Billing. The deck must: - Have at most 7 slides, each one 16:9. - Give every slide a headline that states its takeaway, not a topic (“NRR fell to 101% after the pricing change”, not “NRR”). - Report every OKR honestly, including the misses. - End with the decisions you need from the exec team, each with an owner and a date. - Use only Ledgerly's brand colours (below). Deliver it as a single self-contained HTML file: the slides stacked top to bottom, each exactly 1280 × 720 pixels, no external images, fonts or scripts, readable without JavaScript. Draw any charts in HTML or SVG. With the file, reply with a cover note to Lena of no more than 60 words.

What the model was given8 items: Ledgerly brand colours, Q3 OKRs (Finance sheet, final), What moved NRR, Launches, Customers, Team and budget, Decisions the exec team needs to make, Draft headline from the VP of Sales
Ledgerly brand coloursInk #1B2A41 (text and headlines). Teal #0F8B8D (the primary brand colour: accents, charts, on-track items). Amber #F2A541 (only for items that are at risk or missed; never decorative). Mist #E8EEF2 (backgrounds, table rules). White #FFFFFF. No other colours, no gradients. Body text at least 18px.
Q3 OKRs (Finance sheet, final)1. New ARR: target $2.40M, actual $2.61M (109%). 2. Net revenue retention: target 108%, actual 101.3% (Q2: 106.0%). 3. Activation: 45% of new sign-ups send a first invoice within 7 days; actual 38% (Q2: 36%). 4. Payments reliability: 99.95% target, actual 99.91% (one incident: 2 September, 4 hours of degraded payments during the card-fraud response).
What moved NRRPricing moved from per-seat to usage-based on 1 September. Three of the top 20 accounts downgraded in September (−$540k ARR combined), citing the new pricing. Harbor & Co ($310k ARR) churned to a competitor, citing no bulk invoicing. The Customer Success dashboard shows NRR at 102%, because it excludes churned customers under $5k ARR; Finance's 101.3% is the figure the board sees.
LaunchesBulk invoicing: promised for 12 October, now 26 October (23 October at best), because Payments paused the batch-send API during the card-fraud incident. The 14 October customer webinar (1,100 registered) has been moved to 28 October. AI-drafted support replies: live on the three non-billing queues since 21 September; median first-response time down 41%. Billing queue waits for updated pricing data and a refund-language block; eval re-run due 20 October.
CustomersNPS: 34 (Q2: 41). 62% of detractor comments mention the pricing change. 20 of the top 50 accounts renew in Q4, worth $2.1M ARR; Customer Success rates 7 of them ($900k) at risk, all citing pricing.
Team and budgetHires: 9 of 14 planned; two senior engineers left Payments in August (both regretted). Spend: 4% under budget, mostly the unfilled roles.
Decisions the exec team needs to make(a) Whether to hold the top-20 accounts on their old pricing for six months: Finance estimates it costs $420k of ARR this year; Customer Success thinks it protects most of the $900k at risk. (b) Whether to move two engineers from Growth to Payments until bulk invoicing ships, which the Payments lead says would secure 23 October; Growth would pause the activation experiments for six weeks.
Draft headline from the VP of Sales“Record quarter: best-ever new ARR, 109% of target.” (She'd like the deck to open with it.)
What a strong answer doesThe answer key the graders mark against

Opens with an honest headline for the quarter: new ARR beat target, but NRR fell to 101.3% against 108% after the pricing change, and activation and reliability missed. Does not lead with 'record quarter' on its own. Uses Finance's 101.3% (noting the CS dashboard's different definition if it mentions 102%). Shows each OKR with a plain status, amber only on the misses. Covers the NRR drivers (the three downgrades and Harbor & Co), the bulk-invoicing slip to 26 October (23 at best), NPS 41 to 34, and the $900k renewal risk. Closes with the two decisions, framed with their trade-offs, each with an owner and a date before the Q4 renewals. At most 7 slides, takeaway headlines, the brand palette only, and a short cover note.

Critical failures (cap the score at 40)
  • Reports the NRR, activation or reliability OKR as met or on track
  • Opens the deck with the 'record quarter' headline and omits the retention drop from the opening
Task

Staff-level · v1.12

The outputs

8 setups answered this brief.

Usable with a quick edit14 of 15 checks passed

All facts are correct, the deck meets every requirement, and the cover note sets context honestly. A PM could use it with only a light proofread.

Output

Open the deckThe file the model delivered, in a new tab

Lena, this deck reports all four Q3 OKRs, including the three misses, and opens with the NRR and bulk-invoicing story. I didn't use the "record quarter" headline because the Finance sheet doesn't support "best-ever." New ARR beat target by 9%, and the deck says so. Owners and dates on slide 7 are my proposals and need confirming on 8 October.

Grades and run details

Decision model 83 · LLM judge 100
Decision model checks
  • passUses the supplied evidence correctly48%
  • failAddresses the actual decision25%
  • passRespects explicit constraints4%
  • partialIdentifies material uncertainty51%
  • partialAvoids unsupported claims41%
  • passProduces the required deliverable43%
  • passLeads with the honest headline97%
  • passMakes the decisions clear100%
  • passHeadlines state the takeaway58%
  • partialOwns the problem79%
  • passReady for the reader as delivered56%
  • passAsks leaders only for the big calls49%
  • passReports outcomes and learning, not just output85%
  • passA real 7-slide deckby hand100%
  • passUses only the brand coloursby hand100%
Artefacts
Run
Run
#1
API response time
48 s
Submitted
8 Oct 2026

Usable with a quick edit11 of 15 checks passed

The output is factually accurate, well-structured, and only needs a quick edit to add a line about activation experiments and swap in names, without re-checking evidence or redoing reasoning.

Output

Open the deckThe file the model delivered, in a new tab

I'll build the seven-slide deck as one self-contained HTML file, then check every slide renders at 1280 × 720 without overflow.

I rendered all seven slides and checked them. Each is exactly 1280 × 720 with nothing overflowing. All text is 18px or larger. The only hex values in the file are the five brand colours.

Cover note to Lena (58 words):

Lena — Billing's Q3 pre-read for 8 October. New ARR beat target (109%), but the pricing change cut NRR to 101.3% and puts $900k of Q4 renewals at risk; we missed three of four OKRs. Slide 7 has two decisions I need from the team: a six-month pricing hold for top-20 accounts, and moving two engineers to Payments.

Decisions I made that you should check:

The VP of Sales' headline isn't the opener. The material doesn't support "record" or "best-ever". It only shows 109% of target. Leading with it would also bury the NRR miss the board will see. The ARR beat is still the first clause of slide 1. NRR is Finance's 101.3% throughout. The Customer Success dashboard's 102% is footnoted on slide 3 with the reason for the difference, so nobody gets caught out by it. The owners are placeholder roles (VP Customer Success, VP Engineering). Swap in names. The recommendations on slide 7 are mine. Decision A is conditional on a gap in the data: the hold covers the top 20 accounts, but the 7 at-risk accounts are only placed within the top 50. Get Customer Success to confirm the overlap before the 7th.

What a PM had to fix

  1. 1Hypothesis stated as factReframe it as a hypothesisQuick edit

    Source: Decisions the exec team needs to makeCustomer Success thinks it protects most of the $900k at risk.

    What we’d changeOn the slides, 'Protect $900k' overstates Customer Success's estimate that the hold protects most of it, and '1,100 customers expect it' is stronger than 1,100 webinar registrations.

Grades and run details

Decision model 77 · LLM judge 86
Decision model checks
  • passUses the supplied evidence correctly32%
  • failAddresses the actual decision9%
  • passRespects explicit constraints25%
  • passIdentifies material uncertainty49%
  • passAvoids unsupported claims21%
  • passProduces the required deliverable33%
  • passLeads with the honest headline86%
  • partialMakes the decisions clear27%
  • passHeadlines state the takeaway81%
  • passA real 7-slide deckby hand100%
  • passUses only the brand coloursby hand100%
  • partialOwns the problem74%
  • failReady for the reader as delivered45%
  • partialAsks leaders only for the big calls41%
  • passReports outcomes and learning, not just output65%
Artefacts
Run
Run
#1
Time to output
3.6 min
Submitted
27 Sept 2026

Usable with a quick edit11 of 15 checks passed

The deck is complete, uses correct data, and presents the required decisions clearly; a PM could use it with only minor wording tweaks.

Output

Open the deckThe file the model delivered, in a new tab

Lena — the Billing Q3 pre-read is below for 7 October, ahead of the 8 October QBR. It leads with the ARR beat while making the three OKR misses explicit, uses Finance’s NRR, and closes with two decisions on pricing protection and engineering capacity. Proposed owners and decision dates are included.

Grades and run details

Decision model 70 · LLM judge 100
Decision model checks
  • passUses the supplied evidence correctly61%
  • failAddresses the actual decision29%
  • passRespects explicit constraints56%
  • failIdentifies material uncertainty25%
  • passAvoids unsupported claims66%
  • failProduces the required deliverable5%
  • passLeads with the honest headline32%
  • passMakes the decisions clear70%
  • passHeadlines state the takeaway81%
  • passA real 7-slide deckby hand100%
  • partialUses only the brand coloursby hand100%
  • partialOwns the problem39%
  • passReady for the reader as delivered5%
  • partialAsks leaders only for the big calls29%
  • passReports outcomes and learning, not just output34%
Artefacts
Run
Run
#1
API response time
1.6 min
Submitted
29 Sept 2026

Check by check

Where the outputs differ comes first. Open a check to read the judge’s reasons. “Mixed” means the two graders disagreed.

Where they differ 5

Identifies material uncertaintyRightMixedMixed
Haiku 5.5 · API

The deck flags that the cost and benefit estimates for decision (a) are unverified, and the 23 October date is described as the best case, acknowledging uncertainty.

Opus 5.5 · Claude

The output identifies the overlap uncertainty for decision A but does not name any material unknown that could change the call for decision B, such as the reliability of the Payments lead's estimate or the impact of pausing activation experiments.

GPT-6.1 Sol · API

It names the key unknowns (whether legacy pricing protects the $900k, whether the transfer secures 23 October) and bounds them with estimates.

Produces the required deliverableRightRightMixed
Haiku 5.5 · API

The self-contained HTML file and a 60-word cover note are delivered as requested, making the deck and cover usable by the CEO.

Opus 5.5 · Claude

The deliverable is a complete, self-contained HTML file with 7 slides and a cover note, usable by the exec team with light edits.

GPT-6.1 Sol · API

The self-contained HTML file with 7 slides is delivered, meeting the form and length requirements.

Uses only the brand coloursRightRightMixed
Haiku 5.5 · API

No reason given.

Opus 5.5 · Claude

No reason given.

GPT-6.1 Sol · API

No reason given.

Owns the problemRightWrongRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

For each problem (NRR, activation, reliability, delays), the deck describes ongoing actions (activation experiments, AI replies, bulk-invoicing plan) and recommends decisions with trade-offs.

Opus 5.5 · Claude

The activation miss is reported without mentioning any action the team has already taken (e.g., the ongoing activation experiments), so it does not fully own the problem.

GPT-6.1 Sol · API

Each material problem is accompanied by actions already taken and the recommended options with trade-offs.

Ready for the reader as deliveredRightMixedRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

The deck and cover note are written directly for Lena, using only provided data, with proposed owners and dates clearly marked as needing confirmation.

Opus 5.5 · Claude

The deck uses role-based owners (no invented names), the cover note is addressed to Lena, and the content is written for the exec team without unexplained internal jargon.

GPT-6.1 Sol · API

The deck is written entirely for Lena and the exec team, with owners and dates taken from the material or clearly proposed.

All mixed 1

Addresses the actual decisionMixedMixedMixed
Haiku 5.5 · API

The deck ends with the two required decisions, each with trade-offs, an owner and a date, addressing the exec team's call as requested.

Opus 5.5 · Claude

The output commits to clear recommendations for both decisions, framed for the exec team, with conditions that would change the call for decision A.

GPT-6.1 Sol · API

The output clearly commits to the two decisions the exec team must make, with owners and dates, as the brief requires.

All got right 9

Uses the supplied evidence correctlyRightRightRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

Every claim about the current situation is drawn accurately from the supplied context, with no invented facts.

Opus 5.5 · Claude

All factual claims about the current situation are directly from the brief or derived by simple arithmetic, with no inventions.

GPT-6.1 Sol · API

All claims about the current situation are directly supported by the brief or supplied context.

Respects explicit constraintsRightRightRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

The visible text respects the 7-slide limit, takeaway headlines, and brand colors; colors cannot be checked in this text review but were not penalized.

Opus 5.5 · Claude

The output respects all constraints: 7 slides, takeaway headlines, honest OKR reporting, decisions with owner and date, brand colours, and a 58-word cover note.

GPT-6.1 Sol · API

The deck has 7 slides, takeaway headlines, reports all OKRs honestly, ends with decisions with owners and dates, and uses only brand colours (colour check deferred to browser).

Avoids unsupported claimsRightRightRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

All interpretations and forecasts are directly supported by the data or clearly labelled as proposals or conditions.

Opus 5.5 · Claude

Causes and forecasts are either directly supported by the brief or clearly labelled as views (e.g., Customer Success view), with no unsupported confident claims.

GPT-6.1 Sol · API

Interpretations are clearly labelled as such, and no confident claims go beyond the supplied evidence.

Leads with the honest headlineRightRightRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

The first content slide headline states the New ARR beat and the three missed OKRs, including the NRR drop, rather than only the new-ARR win.

Opus 5.5 · Claude

The first content slide leads with the NRR miss and the $900k risk alongside the new-ARR beat, not the 'record quarter' headline alone.

GPT-6.1 Sol · API

The first content slide headline includes the retention drop alongside the ARR beat, not just the record quarter.

Makes the decisions clearRightRightRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

Slide 7 presents both decisions with their trade-offs, each with a specific owner and a date before the Q4 renewals.

Opus 5.5 · Claude

The deck ends with both decisions, each with its cost, benefit, an owner (VP Customer Success, VP Engineering) and a date (8 October).

GPT-6.1 Sol · API

The deck ends with both decisions, each with its trade-off, an owner, and a date before the Q4 renewals.

Headlines state the takeawayRightRightRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

Every slide headline is a takeaway sentence (e.g., 'NRR fell to 101.3% after the 1 September pricing change, 6.7 points below target'), not a topic label.

Opus 5.5 · Claude

Every slide headline is a takeaway sentence that states the key message, not a topic label.

GPT-6.1 Sol · API

Every slide headline is a takeaway sentence, not a topic label.

A real 7-slide deckRightRightRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

No reason given.

Opus 5.5 · Claude

No reason given.

GPT-6.1 Sol · API

No reason given.

Asks leaders only for the big callsRightRightRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

The deck clearly asks the exec team for the two high-stakes decisions and notes that the team will handle other moves (e.g., AI reply rollout).

Opus 5.5 · Claude

The update clearly separates the two high-stakes decisions needed from the exec team, with recommendations and dates, and does not ask for lower-level calls.

GPT-6.1 Sol · API

It clearly separates the two high-stakes decisions for the exec team from operational calls, with a recommendation and date.

Reports outcomes and learning, not just outputRightRightRight
Haiku 5.5 · API

The update leads with outcome metrics (NRR, activation, NPS) and what was learned (pricing impact, fraud incident side effects), with launches as supporting detail.

Opus 5.5 · Claude

The update leads with outcome metrics (NRR, NPS, at-risk renewals) and what the team learned about the pricing change's impact, with launches as supporting detail.

GPT-6.1 Sol · API

The update leads with outcome metrics and what the team learned, with shipping details as supporting evidence.

Results

Every setup we’ve tested on this task type, across all its tasks and repeats, graded on the current checklist. Calibrated. Where our PM checked the graders by hand, they agreed on 76% of 89 checks.

#Model · HarnessTask scoreDecision modelLLM judgeRunsCritical failures
1GPT-6 AstrawithChatGPT94.292.92None
2Sonnet 5.5withAPI84.696.42None
3Haiku 5.5withAPI89.692.32None
4GPT-6.1 SolwithAPI80.896.22None
5Opus 5.5withClaude86.377.52None
6GPT-6 LunawithAPI76.766.82None
7Gemini 3.5 Flash-LitewithGemini70.851.62None
8Gemini 3.8 FlashwithAPI66.351.92None

What you get for the cost

Haiku 5.5 · API scores within 5 points of GPT-6 Astra · ChatGPT at a tenth of the cost.

Task score against relative cost for each setup. The table below has the same figures.50607080901001×3×10×30×Cost per output, relative to the cheapest setup (log scale) →↑ Task scoreGPT-6 Astra · ChatGPT: task score 94, 26× the cheapest (1 of 2 outputs estimated)Sonnet 5.5 · API: task score 90, 40× the cheapestHaiku 5.5 · API: task score 89, 2.6× the cheapestGPT-6.1 Sol · API: task score 88, 15× the cheapestOpus 5.5 · Claude: task score 81, 55× the cheapest (1 of 2 outputs estimated)GPT-6 Luna · API: task score 71, the cheapestGemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · Gemini: task score 60, the cheapest (1 of 2 outputs estimated)Gemini 3.8 Flash · API: task score 58, 13× the cheapestGPT-6 Astra · ChatGPTSonnet 5.5 · APIHaiku 5.5 · APIGPT-6.1 Sol · APIOpus 5.5 · ClaudeGPT-6 Luna · APIGemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · GeminiGemini 3.8 Flash · API
Best valueNobody beats these on both score and costCost partly estimated (app runs with no usage meter)
Task score and relative cost by setup
SetupTask scoreRelative cost (cheapest = 1)
Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite · Gemini601.0× (partly estimated)
GPT-6 Luna · API711.3×
Haiku 5.5 · API892.6×
Gemini 3.8 Flash · API5813×
GPT-6.1 Sol · API8815×
GPT-6 Astra · ChatGPT9426× (partly estimated)
Sonnet 5.5 · API9040×
Opus 5.5 · Claude8155× (partly estimated)

Cost is each output’s tokens at the model’s list price, shown relative to the cheapest setup. Runs done in an app have no usage meter, so theirs are estimated from the same setup’s measured runs. How we compare cost

About the task

The PM job

Writing the weekly update, or the reply to an executive's question, that the team's credibility rests on.

Why it matters

Updates are where bad news gets softened. A fluent update that buries a slipped date or presents a guess as the cause does more harm than no update: leadership decides on it, and trust goes when the truth comes out.

What good looks like

  • Leads with the news and any decision needed
  • States dates, numbers and causes plainly, including bad news
  • Separates what is known from what is suspected
  • Brings a recommendation and what's been tried, not just the problem
  • Fits the reader and the length asked for

Deliberately not measured

  • Tone and formatting preferences
  • Writing style beyond clarity
Capability tested

Honest, decision-first status communication

The failure we’re looking for

Spin: burying or softening the bad news, or presenting a guess as fact

Grading

Decision model, LLM judge and a browser check (for the deck), calibrated against a blind PM review

Variants

A short written update · Staff level: a QBR deck in brand colours